SE Louisiana

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for SE Louisiana, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Jeremy Elyzee	74.3%	+1.0range -0.1 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	+4.1range +3.7 to +4.5Sufficient evidence	$49KspeculativeLoading	$15K to $165KLoading
Isaiah Gaines	70.0%	+0.7range -0.5 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	+3.8range +3.3 to +4.2Sufficient evidence	$40KspeculativeLoading	$11K to $135KLoading
Makhi Myles	51.6%	-0.1range -1.0 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	+2.7range +2.4 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	$19KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $63KLoading
Jaiden Lawrence	50.4%	-2.1range -3.2 to -1.2Sufficient evidence	+2.1range +1.8 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	$5KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $28KLoading
C.J. Booker	49.1%	-1.1range -2.1 to +0.1Sufficient evidence	+2.3range +2.0 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	$10KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $40KLoading
Ethan Pickett	46.2%	-0.7range -1.7 to +0.2Sufficient evidence	+2.3range +2.0 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	$11KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $39KLoading
Peter Hemschemeier	42.8%	-0.8range -2.1 to +0.3Sufficient evidence	+2.1range +1.8 to +2.4Sufficient evidence	$10KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $39KLoading
Jalen Forrest	38.4%	-2.3range -3.6 to -0.9Sufficient evidence	+1.6range +1.3 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $23KLoading
Kyle Edison	20.0%	-0.7range -1.5 to +0.3Sufficient evidence	+1.0range +0.9 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $24KLoading
Ubong Abasi Etim	19.1%	-1.1range -2.1 to +0.2Limited evidence	+0.9range +0.8 to +1.1Limited evidence	$5KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $20KLoading
Garrett Shoemaker	12.9%	-0.9range -1.7 to -0.0Limited evidence	+0.7range +0.6 to +0.7Limited evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $14KLoading
Ahmed Essahaty	12.8%	-2.1range -2.9 to -1.5Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $10KLoading
Seth Jones	12.4%	-1.2range -2.0 to -0.4Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $12KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $200K; 80% Range $74K to $560K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $170K to $215K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Jeremy Elyzee	74.3%	$49K	$15K to $165K	21.7%	$42K to $53K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaiah Gaines	70.0%	$40K	$11K to $135K	18.0%	$34K to $43K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Makhi Myles	51.6%	$19K	$3K to $63K	10.6%	$16K to $20K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaiden Lawrence	50.4%	$5K	$1K to $28K	3.3%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
C.J. Booker	49.1%	$10K	$1K to $40K	7.2%	$8K to $11K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ethan Pickett	46.2%	$11K	$1K to $39K	7.7%	$9K to $11K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Peter Hemschemeier	42.8%	$10K	$1K to $39K	7.0%	$8K to $10K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jalen Forrest	38.4%	$4K	$1K to $23K	3.0%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kyle Edison	20.0%	$6K	$1K to $24K	4.0%	$5K to $7K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ubong Abasi Etim	19.1%	$5K	$1K to $20K	3.4%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Garrett Shoemaker	12.9%	$4K	$1K to $14K	2.6%	$3K to $4K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ahmed Essahaty	12.8%	$3K	$1K to $10K	1.2%	$2K to $3K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Seth Jones	12.4%	$3K	$1K to $12K	2.2%	$3K to $4K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$200K	$74K to $560K	100%	$170K to $215K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Southeastern Louisiana University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,181,300	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$1,181,300
Athletics department expenses	$19,286,332
Athletics department revenue	$19,286,332

Coverage and exclusions

23 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (77%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

7 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$1,181,300	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$1,181,300	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	10
3 or more days	18

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	2
Longest run of consecutive away games	5

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology