Nebraska

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Nebraska, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Pryce Sandfort	84.4%	+6.6range +5.5 to +7.7Sufficient evidence	+8.8range +8.0 to +9.6Sufficient evidence	$875KspeculativeLoading	$580K to $1.40MLoading
Sam Hoiberg	81.2%	+6.5range +4.9 to +7.8Sufficient evidence	+8.4range +7.5 to +9.2Sufficient evidence	$820KspeculativeLoading	$540K to $1.30MLoading
Rienk Mast	71.6%	+3.3range +1.8 to +4.4Sufficient evidence	+5.9range +5.2 to +6.6Sufficient evidence	$395KspeculativeLoading	$210K to $605KLoading
Jamarques Lawrence	70.5%	+2.1range +0.4 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	+5.2range +4.4 to +5.8Sufficient evidence	$290KspeculativeLoading	$87K to $500KLoading
Berke Buyuktuncel	57.8%	+4.5range +3.1 to +5.7Sufficient evidence	+5.2range +4.6 to +5.8Sufficient evidence	$415KspeculativeLoading	$255K to $645KLoading
Braden Frager	54.2%	+2.9range +1.2 to +4.4Sufficient evidence	+4.3range +3.5 to +4.8Sufficient evidence	$280KspeculativeLoading	$105K to $460KLoading
Cale Jacobsen	47.7%	+2.7range +1.3 to +4.1Sufficient evidence	+3.7range +3.2 to +4.1Sufficient evidence	$245KspeculativeLoading	$105K to $400KLoading
Jared Garcia	16.2%	-0.0range -1.0 to +1.1Sufficient evidence	+0.9range +0.8 to +1.1Sufficient evidence	$59KspeculativeLoading	$24K to $115KLoading
Connor Essegian	6.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$27Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading
Leo Curtis	4.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$27Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading
Kendall Blue	3.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$27Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading
Justin Bolis	1.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$27Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading
Ugnius Jarusevicius	0.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$27Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $3.60M; 80% Range $2.60M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.60M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 5 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Pryce Sandfort	84.4%	$875K	$580K to $1.40M	23.7%	$875K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Sam Hoiberg	81.2%	$820K	$540K to $1.30M	22.0%	$820K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Rienk Mast	71.6%	$395K	$210K to $605K	11.7%	$395K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Jamarques Lawrence	70.5%	$290K	$87K to $500K	8.6%	$290K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Berke Buyuktuncel	57.8%	$415K	$255K to $645K	11.7%	$415K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Braden Frager	54.2%	$280K	$105K to $460K	8.3%	$280K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Cale Jacobsen	47.7%	$245K	$105K to $400K	7.3%	$245K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Jared Garcia	16.2%	$59K	$24K to $115K	1.7%	$59K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Connor Essegian	6.4%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Leo Curtis	4.2%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Kendall Blue	3.8%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Justin Bolis	1.3%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Ugnius Jarusevicius	0.8%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.60M	$2.60M to $4.95M	100%	$3.60M in all four	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Nebraska-Lincoln (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$18,447,339
Men's basketball expenses	$13,196,203
Athletics department expenses	$198,462,402
Athletics department revenue	$205,807,522

Coverage and exclusions

34 of 35 games passed lineup acceptance (97%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

1 of 35 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$18,447,339	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$13,196,203	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	1
3 or more days	32

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.3
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	0
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology