NC A&T

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for NC A&T, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Lewis Walker	85.0%	+0.2range -1.3 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	+4.4range +3.8 to +5.0Sufficient evidence	$34KspeculativeLoading	$5K to $115KLoading
Zamoku Weluche-Ume	74.3%	-1.1range -2.1 to -0.1Sufficient evidence	+3.5range +3.0 to +4.0Sufficient evidence	$13KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $53KLoading
Trent Middleton Jr.	73.4%	+0.1range -1.0 to +1.0Sufficient evidence	+3.9range +3.4 to +4.3Sufficient evidence	$28KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $89KLoading
Dwayne Pierce	58.2%	-3.1range -4.3 to -1.8Sufficient evidence	+2.2range +1.7 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	$5KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $26KLoading
Bryson Ogletree	45.0%	-1.0range -2.2 to -0.0Sufficient evidence	+2.2range +1.9 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	$9KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $35KLoading
Will Felton	39.9%	+0.0range -1.4 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	+2.2range +1.8 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	$15KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $57KLoading
Amadou Doumbia	30.1%	-0.2range -1.1 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	+1.7range +1.5 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	$11KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $35KLoading
KJ Debrick	27.7%	+2.2range +0.9 to +3.4Sufficient evidence	+1.9range +1.7 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	$30KspeculativeLoading	$8K to $130KLoading
Brooklyn Vick	27.4%	-0.6range -1.8 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+1.5range +1.3 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	$8KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $28KLoading
Mujahiid Burton	27.1%	-0.7range -2.0 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+1.4range +1.2 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	$7KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $27KLoading
Lureon Walker	10.3%	+0.9range +0.1 to +1.7Limited evidence	+0.7range +0.6 to +0.7Limited evidence	$8KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $25KLoading
Yancarlos Cueto	1.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $205K; 80% Range $77K to $555K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $205K to $210K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 1 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Lewis Walker	85.0%	$34K	$5K to $115K	17.7%	$33K to $34K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Zamoku Weluche-Ume	74.3%	$13K	$1K to $53K	9.9%	$13K to $14K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Trent Middleton Jr.	73.4%	$28K	$4K to $89K	14.8%	$27K to $28K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dwayne Pierce	58.2%	$5K	$1K to $26K	1.2%	$4K to $5K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Bryson Ogletree	45.0%	$9K	$1K to $35K	6.5%	$9K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Will Felton	39.9%	$15K	$2K to $57K	8.2%	$15K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Amadou Doumbia	30.1%	$11K	$2K to $35K	6.2%	$10K to $11K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
KJ Debrick	27.7%	$30K	$8K to $130K	12.2%	$30K to $31K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brooklyn Vick	27.4%	$8K	$1K to $28K	5.0%	$8K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mujahiid Burton	27.1%	$7K	$1K to $27K	4.7%	$7K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Lureon Walker	10.3%	$8K	$2K to $25K	3.4%	$7K to $8K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Yancarlos Cueto	1.4%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$205K	$77K to $555K	100%	$205K to $210K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, North Carolina A & T State University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,919,954	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$1,919,954
Athletics department expenses	$18,977,572
Athletics department revenue	$19,090,496

Coverage and exclusions

27 of 28 games passed lineup acceptance (96%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

1 of 28 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$1,919,954	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$1,919,954	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched by a manual override chosen by the model author. Its checks (IPEDS identity, state, home-venue city) confirm only that the pick is self-consistent. They are not independent proof that this school is the same program. If the match were wrong, these figures would belong to a different school.manual EADA match, not independently verified

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
2 days	6
3 or more days	21

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology