N Colorado

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for N Colorado, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Zach Bloch	83.8%	+1.4range +0.2 to +2.4Sufficient evidence	+6.3range +5.6 to +7.0Sufficient evidence	$33KspeculativeLoading	$9K to $100KLoading
Quinn Denker	81.0%	+3.7range +2.7 to +4.5Sufficient evidence	+7.3range +6.6 to +7.8Sufficient evidence	$67KspeculativeLoading	$22K to $195KLoading
Brock Wisne	79.6%	+2.7range +1.6 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	+6.7range +6.0 to +7.4Sufficient evidence	$49KspeculativeLoading	$17K to $140KLoading
Ibu Yamazaki	70.1%	-1.1range -2.5 to +0.3Sufficient evidence	+4.1range +3.3 to +4.9Sufficient evidence	$10KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $45KLoading
Ring Nyeri	65.3%	+0.6range -0.4 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	+4.6range +4.0 to +5.2Sufficient evidence	$19KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $62KLoading
Vincent Delano	49.6%	-2.6range -3.6 to -1.6Sufficient evidence	+2.4range +1.9 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $22KLoading
Egan Shields	42.2%	+0.9range -0.6 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	+3.0range +2.5 to +3.5Sufficient evidence	$15KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $50KLoading
Ariik Mawien	19.1%	+0.1range -0.7 to +0.9Sufficient evidence	+1.3range +1.1 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $19KLoading
Tanner Braketa	4.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
Hunter Caldwell	3.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
Chancellor White	0.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
Walker Asp	0.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
William Humer	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $230K; 80% Range $83K to $625K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $225K to $240K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 5 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Zach Bloch	83.8%	$33K	$9K to $100K	15.9%	$32K to $34K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Quinn Denker	81.0%	$67K	$22K to $195K	27.1%	$64K to $69K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brock Wisne	79.6%	$49K	$17K to $140K	20.2%	$47K to $50K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ibu Yamazaki	70.1%	$10K	$1K to $45K	5.9%	$9K to $10K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ring Nyeri	65.3%	$19K	$4K to $62K	10.4%	$19K to $20K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Vincent Delano	49.6%	$4K	$1K to $22K	1.3%	$4K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Egan Shields	42.2%	$15K	$3K to $50K	7.8%	$15K to $16K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ariik Mawien	19.1%	$6K	$1K to $19K	3.1%	$6K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tanner Braketa	4.1%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Hunter Caldwell	3.8%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Chancellor White	0.8%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Walker Asp	0.4%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
William Humer	0.1%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$230K	$83K to $625K	100%	$225K to $240K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Northern Colorado (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,125,496	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,125,496
Athletics department expenses	$23,188,137
Athletics department revenue	$23,188,137

Coverage and exclusions

27 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (93%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

2 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$2,125,496	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$2,125,496	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	2
2 days	9
3 or more days	17

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	0
Longest run of consecutive away games	3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology