Missouri KC

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Missouri KC, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Jayson Petty	75.9%	-1.5range -2.4 to -0.3Sufficient evidence	+1.5range +1.3 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	$28KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $125KLoading
CJ Evans	71.1%	-2.7range -3.5 to -1.7Sufficient evidence	+1.2range +1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	$13KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $54KLoading
Karmello Branch	70.4%	-2.4range -3.1 to -1.5Sufficient evidence	+1.3range +1.1 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	$15KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $58KLoading
Jerome Palm	61.0%	-1.8range -2.3 to -1.0Sufficient evidence	+1.2range +1.1 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	$19KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $70KLoading
Chris Dockery	56.8%	-1.6range -2.2 to -0.8Sufficient evidence	+1.1range +1.0 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	$19KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $75KLoading
Kasheem Grady II	54.5%	-3.3range -4.4 to -2.0Sufficient evidence	+0.9range +0.7 to +1.1Sufficient evidence	$9KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $39KLoading
Addarin Scott	30.0%	-2.9range -4.1 to -1.6Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.4 to +0.7Limited evidence	$7KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $25KLoading
Trey Booker-Lowery	27.9%	-1.4range -2.0 to -0.7Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.6 to +0.7Limited evidence	$11KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $44KLoading
Jamaria Clark	26.7%	-1.3range -2.1 to -0.6Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence	$12KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $52KLoading
Babacar Mbengue	20.7%	-1.1range -1.7 to -0.3Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence	$11KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $60KLoading
Kernan Bundy	5.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $205K; 80% Range $75K to $525K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $185K to $250K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 11; 1 floor only

The widest scenario range, $90K to $635K, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Jayson Petty	75.9%	$28K	$2K to $125K	15.0%	$26K to $34K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
CJ Evans	71.1%	$13K	$1K to $54K	11.1%	$12K to $16K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Karmello Branch	70.4%	$15K	$1K to $58K	12.2%	$14K to $18K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jerome Palm	61.0%	$19K	$2K to $70K	12.1%	$17K to $23K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chris Dockery	56.8%	$19K	$2K to $75K	11.3%	$17K to $23K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kasheem Grady II	54.5%	$9K	$1K to $39K	7.0%	$8K to $11K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Addarin Scott	30.0%	$7K	$1K to $25K	4.7%	$6K to $8K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Trey Booker-Lowery	27.9%	$11K	$2K to $44K	6.2%	$10K to $14K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jamaria Clark	26.7%	$12K	$2K to $52K	6.2%	$11K to $15K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Babacar Mbengue	20.7%	$11K	$2K to $60K	5.2%	$10K to $14K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kernan Bundy	5.0%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.9%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$205K	$75K to $525K	100%	$185K to $250K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Missouri-Kansas City (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,590,772	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,590,772
Athletics department expenses	$17,154,796
Athletics department revenue	$17,226,574

Coverage and exclusions

12 of 28 games passed lineup acceptance (43%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

16 of 28 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$2,590,772	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$2,590,772	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
2 days	6
3 or more days	21

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.3
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	3
Longest run of consecutive away games	4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology