Massachusetts

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Massachusetts, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Marcus Banks	82.0%	+0.4range -0.8 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	+6.2range +5.3 to +7.1Sufficient evidence	$39KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $125KLoading
Leonardo Bettiol	71.4%	+3.5range +2.0 to +4.8Sufficient evidence	+7.0range +6.0 to +7.7Sufficient evidence	$97KspeculativeLoading	$31K to $290KLoading
Danny Carbuccia	69.4%	+0.8range -0.4 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	+5.4range +4.8 to +6.2Sufficient evidence	$41KspeculativeLoading	$9K to $125KLoading
Jayden Ndjigue	65.7%	+3.0range +2.0 to +4.2Sufficient evidence	+6.2range +5.6 to +6.9Sufficient evidence	$83KspeculativeLoading	$27K to $245KLoading
Daniel Hankins-Sanford	64.2%	-0.6range -1.7 to +0.6Sufficient evidence	+4.4range +3.8 to +5.1Sufficient evidence	$20KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $77KLoading
K'Jei Parker	50.3%	-0.6range -1.9 to +0.7Sufficient evidence	+3.4range +2.9 to +3.9Sufficient evidence	$16KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $63KLoading
Dwayne Wimbley, Jr.	34.5%	-2.6range -4.0 to -1.5Sufficient evidence	+1.8range +1.4 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $28KLoading
Luka Damjanac	21.3%	-0.9range -2.2 to +0.4Sufficient evidence	+1.4range +1.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	$8KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $28KLoading
Isaiah Placide	17.7%	-1.7range -2.7 to -0.3Sufficient evidence	+1.1range +0.9 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $21KLoading
Dimitri Clerc	16.6%	-0.5range -1.7 to +0.6Sufficient evidence	+1.1range +1.0 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	$8KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $25KLoading
Donovan Brown	5.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$3Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $8KLoading
Charles Outlaw	1.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$3Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $8KLoading
Rollie Castineyra	0.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$3Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $8KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $365K; 80% Range $135K to $965K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $360K to $375K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 3 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Marcus Banks	82.0%	$39K	$6K to $125K	13.4%	$39K to $40K	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Leonardo Bettiol	71.4%	$97K	$31K to $290K	24.7%	$96K to $100K	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Danny Carbuccia	69.4%	$41K	$9K to $125K	13.1%	$40K to $42K	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jayden Ndjigue	65.7%	$83K	$27K to $245K	21.1%	$82K to $85K	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Daniel Hankins-Sanford	64.2%	$20K	$2K to $77K	7.4%	$19K to $20K	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
K'Jei Parker	50.3%	$16K	$2K to $63K	5.9%	$15K to $16K	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dwayne Wimbley, Jr.	34.5%	$6K	$1K to $28K	1.3%	$6K in all four	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Luka Damjanac	21.3%	$8K	$2K to $28K	2.7%	$8K in all four	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaiah Placide	17.7%	$6K	$1K to $21K	1.8%	$6K in all four	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dimitri Clerc	16.6%	$8K	$2K to $25K	2.5%	$7K to $8K	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Donovan Brown	5.0%	$3K	$1K to $8K	0.8%	$3K in all four	$3K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Charles Outlaw	1.3%	$3K	$1K to $8K	0.8%	$3K in all four	$3K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Rollie Castineyra	0.6%	$3K	$1K to $8K	0.8%	$3K in all four	$3K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$365K	$135K to $965K	100%	$360K to $375K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Massachusetts-Amherst (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$6,221,448	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$6,221,448
Athletics department expenses	$57,654,295
Athletics department revenue	$57,654,295

Coverage and exclusions

29 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (91%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

3 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$6,221,448	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$6,221,448	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	2
2 days	1
3 or more days	28

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	0
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology