Maryland

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Maryland, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Elijah Saunders	79.6%	-0.5range -1.9 to +0.7Sufficient evidence	+3.2range +2.7 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	$445KspeculativeLoading	$33K to $800KLoading
Solomon Washington	70.2%	+1.0range -0.4 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	+3.3range +2.8 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	$700KspeculativeLoading	$350K to $1.80MLoading
David Coit	67.4%	-0.6range -1.6 to +0.6Sufficient evidence	+2.7range +2.4 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	$370KspeculativeLoading	$32K to $665KLoading
Andre Mills	66.6%	+0.1range -1.3 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	+2.9range +2.4 to +3.3Sufficient evidence	$455KspeculativeLoading	$50K to $940KLoading
Darius Adams	63.6%	-1.5range -2.6 to -0.5Sufficient evidence	+2.4range +2.0 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	$215KspeculativeLoading	$23K to $465KLoading
Isaiah Watts	40.4%	-0.1range -1.3 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	+1.8range +1.5 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	$280KspeculativeLoading	$42K to $540KLoading
Collin Metcalf	36.5%	+0.5range -0.6 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	+1.7range +1.6 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	$330KspeculativeLoading	$155K to $770KLoading
George Turkson Jr.	20.8%	-1.9range -3.1 to -1.0Sufficient evidence	+0.8range +0.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidence	$64KspeculativeLoading	$21K to $160KLoading
Myles Rice	17.5%	-2.2range -3.1 to -0.9Sufficient evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	$60KspeculativeLoading	$21K to $140KLoading
Guillermo Del Pino	14.4%	-0.6range -1.5 to +0.4Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence	$96KspeculativeLoading	$28K to $165KLoading
Aleks Alston	13.6%	-1.6range -2.8 to -0.6Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidence	$62KspeculativeLoading	$21K to $125KLoading
Pharrel Payne	9.4%	+1.1range +0.7 to +1.5Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.5 to +0.5Limited evidence	$125KspeculativeLoading	$79K to $280KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $3.60M; 80% Range $2.60M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.60M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Elijah Saunders	79.6%	$445K	$33K to $800K	13.6%	$445K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Solomon Washington	70.2%	$700K	$350K to $1.80M	18.1%	$700K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
David Coit	67.4%	$370K	$32K to $665K	11.4%	$370K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Andre Mills	66.6%	$455K	$50K to $940K	13.1%	$455K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Darius Adams	63.6%	$215K	$23K to $465K	6.5%	$215K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaiah Watts	40.4%	$280K	$42K to $540K	8.0%	$280K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Collin Metcalf	36.5%	$330K	$155K to $770K	8.7%	$330K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
George Turkson Jr.	20.8%	$64K	$21K to $160K	1.9%	$64K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Myles Rice	17.5%	$60K	$21K to $140K	1.8%	$60K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Guillermo Del Pino	14.4%	$96K	$28K to $165K	2.9%	$96K in all four	$29K	Limited evidence
Aleks Alston	13.6%	$62K	$21K to $125K	1.9%	$62K in all four	$29K	Limited evidence
Pharrel Payne	9.4%	$125K	$79K to $280K	3.3%	$125K in all four	$29K	Limited evidence
Team Pool	—	$3.60M	$2.60M to $4.95M	100%	$3.60M in all four	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Maryland-College Park (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$16,464,647
Men's basketball expenses	$12,972,857
Athletics department expenses	$128,662,116
Athletics department revenue	$128,662,116

Coverage and exclusions

27 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (82%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

6 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$16,464,647	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$12,972,857	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	3
2 days	1
3 or more days	28

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	2
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology