Jackson St

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Jackson St, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Jayme Mitchell Jr.	78.6%	-3.1range -4.2 to -1.7Sufficient evidence	+2.4range +2.0 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $37KLoading
Daeshun Ruffin	70.9%	-0.2range -1.1 to +1.1Sufficient evidence	+3.0range +2.7 to +3.4Sufficient evidence	$37KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $140KLoading
Dorian McMillian	62.3%	-3.9range -5.5 to -2.4Sufficient evidence	+1.7range +1.2 to +2.2Sufficient evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $24KLoading
Devin Ree	51.9%	-1.2range -2.8 to +0.6Sufficient evidence	+2.1range +1.7 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	$13KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $63KLoading
Tamarion Hoover	43.6%	-3.9range -5.4 to -2.1Sufficient evidence	+1.2range +0.9 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $19KLoading
Delyle Williams	40.1%	-2.4range -4.0 to -0.8Sufficient evidence	+1.4range +1.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	$5KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $28KLoading
Raevon Thomas	33.2%	+0.3range -1.0 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	+1.6range +1.4 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	$23KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $120KLoading
Dionjahe Thomas	32.7%	-1.4range -2.9 to +0.2Sufficient evidence	+1.3range +1.1 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	$7KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $35KLoading
Jalen Tatum	22.5%	-2.3range -3.7 to -0.8Sufficient evidence	+0.8range +0.6 to +1.0Sufficient evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $16KLoading
Kobe Butler	20.7%	-3.2range -4.3 to -1.9Sufficient evidence	+0.7range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	$2KspeculativeLoading	$0 to $11KLoading
Ebo Wilson	14.9%	-3.2range -4.3 to -2.1Sufficient evidence	+0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Sufficient evidence	$2KspeculativeLoading	$0 to $8KLoading
Mike Williams	11.0%	-3.7range -4.8 to -2.7Limited evidence	+0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence	$2KspeculativeLoading	$0 to $6KLoading
Deyan Kolev	9.7%	-3.3range -4.4 to -2.3Limited evidence	+0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence	$2KspeculativeLoading	$0 to $6KLoading
Kedrick Simmons	6.9%	-2.8range -3.9 to -1.8Limited evidence	+0.2range +0.2 to +0.3Limited evidence	$2KspeculativeLoading	$0 to $6KLoading
Cael Jones	1.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $3KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $160K; 80% Range $58K to $430K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $150K to $170K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 15; 1 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Jayme Mitchell Jr.	78.6%	$4K	$1K to $37K	2.5%	$4K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Daeshun Ruffin	70.9%	$37K	$4K to $140K	21.2%	$34K to $38K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dorian McMillian	62.3%	$3K	$1K to $24K	1.0%	$3K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Devin Ree	51.9%	$13K	$1K to $63K	10.4%	$12K to $13K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tamarion Hoover	43.6%	$3K	$1K to $19K	1.0%	$3K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Delyle Williams	40.1%	$5K	$1K to $28K	4.8%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Raevon Thomas	33.2%	$23K	$4K to $120K	11.9%	$21K to $24K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dionjahe Thomas	32.7%	$7K	$1K to $35K	6.3%	$7K to $8K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jalen Tatum	22.5%	$3K	$1K to $16K	2.9%	$3K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kobe Butler	20.7%	$2K	$0 to $11K	1.0%	$2K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ebo Wilson	14.9%	$2K	$0 to $8K	1.0%	$2K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mike Williams	11.0%	$2K	$0 to $6K	1.0%	$2K in all four	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Deyan Kolev	9.7%	$2K	$0 to $6K	1.0%	$2K in all four	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kedrick Simmons	6.9%	$2K	$0 to $6K	1.0%	$2K in all four	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cael Jones	1.1%	$1K	$0 to $3K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$160K	$58K to $430K	100%	$150K to $170K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Jackson State University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$936,115	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$936,115
Athletics department expenses	$12,379,364
Athletics department revenue	$12,379,364

Coverage and exclusions

32 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (97%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

1 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$936,115	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$936,115	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	2
2 days	10
3 or more days	20

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	3
Longest run of consecutive away games	5

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology