Iowa

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Iowa, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Bennett Stirtz	94.1%	+5.6range +4.2 to +6.7Sufficient evidence	+9.5range +8.5 to +10.3Sufficient evidence	$990KspeculativeLoading	$645K to $1.65MLoading
Cooper Koch	70.6%	+2.3range +1.1 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	+5.6range +4.9 to +6.3Sufficient evidence	$390KspeculativeLoading	$175K to $615KLoading
Kael Combs	64.9%	+2.5range +1.2 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	+5.2range +4.5 to +5.8Sufficient evidence	$360KspeculativeLoading	$165K to $575KLoading
Tavion Banks	58.6%	+3.3range +1.6 to +4.6Sufficient evidence	+5.0range +4.3 to +5.6Sufficient evidence	$395KspeculativeLoading	$225K to $610KLoading
Alvaro Folgueiras	51.9%	+3.4range +1.9 to +4.9Sufficient evidence	+4.5range +3.9 to +5.1Sufficient evidence	$365KspeculativeLoading	$210K to $570KLoading
Cam Manyawu	48.1%	+4.7range +3.5 to +5.7Sufficient evidence	+4.6range +4.1 to +5.0Sufficient evidence	$450KspeculativeLoading	$290K to $700KLoading
Isaia Howard	44.5%	+2.0range +0.8 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	+3.4range +3.0 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	$225KspeculativeLoading	$93K to $365KLoading
Tate Sage	39.9%	+0.6range -1.3 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	+2.7range +2.1 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	$145KspeculativeLoading	$34K to $275KLoading
Brendan Hausen	14.7%	+1.3range -0.0 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	+1.0range +0.9 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	$81KspeculativeLoading	$38K to $130KLoading
Trevin Jirak	9.5%	-1.3range -2.4 to -0.3Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidence	$42KspeculativeLoading	$21K to $78KLoading
Joey Matteoni	2.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$29Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$17K to $47KLoading
Jacob Koch	0.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$29Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$17K to $47KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $3.60M; 80% Range $2.55M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.60M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Bennett Stirtz	94.1%	$990K	$645K to $1.65M	26.8%	$990K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Cooper Koch	70.6%	$390K	$175K to $615K	11.6%	$390K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Kael Combs	64.9%	$360K	$165K to $575K	10.6%	$360K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Tavion Banks	58.6%	$395K	$225K to $610K	11.4%	$395K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Alvaro Folgueiras	51.9%	$365K	$210K to $570K	10.3%	$365K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Cam Manyawu	48.1%	$450K	$290K to $700K	12.1%	$450K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Isaia Howard	44.5%	$225K	$93K to $365K	6.7%	$225K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Tate Sage	39.9%	$145K	$34K to $275K	4.3%	$145K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brendan Hausen	14.7%	$81K	$38K to $130K	2.4%	$81K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Trevin Jirak	9.5%	$42K	$21K to $78K	1.2%	$42K in all four	$29K	Limited evidence
Joey Matteoni	2.6%	$29K	$17K to $47K	0.8%	$29K in all four	$29K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Jacob Koch	0.6%	$29K	$17K to $47K	0.8%	$29K in all four	$29K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.60M	$2.55M to $4.95M	100%	$3.60M in all four	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Iowa (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$16,702,408
Men's basketball expenses	$13,292,250
Athletics department expenses	$150,892,055
Athletics department revenue	$179,990,052

Coverage and exclusions

36 of 37 games passed lineup acceptance (97%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

1 of 37 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$16,702,408	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$13,292,250	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	2
2 days	3
3 or more days	31

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology