Georgia St

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Georgia St, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Micah Tucker	77.9%	-1.5range -2.8 to -0.5Sufficient evidence	+3.5range +2.9 to +3.9Sufficient evidence	$16KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $77KLoading
Malachi Brown	77.5%	-2.5range -3.9 to -1.0Sufficient evidence	+3.1range +2.5 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	$11KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $67KLoading
Jelani Hamilton	66.3%	+0.5range -0.7 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	+3.7range +3.2 to +4.1Sufficient evidence	$61KspeculativeLoading	$14K to $230KLoading
Joah Chappelle	55.2%	-1.1range -2.4 to +0.3Sufficient evidence	+2.7range +2.3 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$19KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $83KLoading
Anthony Enoh	50.2%	-1.1range -2.0 to +0.1Sufficient evidence	+2.5range +2.2 to +2.8Sufficient evidence	$17KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $74KLoading
Trey Scott III	41.0%	-0.2range -1.5 to +1.1Sufficient evidence	+2.3range +1.9 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	$27KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $110KLoading
Ayouba Berthe	40.8%	-1.8range -3.3 to -0.0Sufficient evidence	+1.9range +1.5 to +2.4Sufficient evidence	$11KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $55KLoading
Christian Beam	32.0%	-0.7range -1.4 to +0.2Sufficient evidence	+1.7range +1.5 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	$16KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $62KLoading
Jakai Newton	27.1%	+0.2range -1.2 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	+1.6range +1.3 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	$22KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $89KLoading
Christopher Jones	11.4%	-0.8range -1.8 to +0.2Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $23KLoading
James Cooper	10.8%	-1.7range -2.6 to -0.8Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $15KLoading
Isaiah Sherrard	9.7%	-2.7range -3.2 to -2.1Limited evidence	+0.4range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $12KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $285K; 80% Range $110K to $795K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $255K to $300K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Micah Tucker	77.9%	$16K	$1K to $77K	9.6%	$15K to $17K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Malachi Brown	77.5%	$11K	$1K to $67K	6.3%	$10K to $11K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jelani Hamilton	66.3%	$61K	$14K to $230K	18.2%	$55K to $65K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Joah Chappelle	55.2%	$19K	$2K to $83K	9.2%	$17K to $20K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Anthony Enoh	50.2%	$17K	$2K to $74K	8.8%	$16K to $18K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Trey Scott III	41.0%	$27K	$4K to $110K	9.6%	$24K to $28K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ayouba Berthe	40.8%	$11K	$1K to $55K	5.6%	$10K to $11K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Christian Beam	32.0%	$16K	$2K to $62K	6.7%	$14K to $17K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jakai Newton	27.1%	$22K	$4K to $89K	7.1%	$20K to $23K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Christopher Jones	11.4%	$6K	$2K to $23K	2.7%	$6K to $7K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
James Cooper	10.8%	$4K	$1K to $15K	1.9%	$4K to $5K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaiah Sherrard	9.7%	$4K	$1K to $12K	1.2%	$3K to $4K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$285K	$110K to $795K	100%	$255K to $300K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Georgia State University (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,870,461	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,870,461
Athletics department expenses	$39,979,520
Athletics department revenue	$39,979,520

Coverage and exclusions

26 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (87%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

4 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$2,870,461	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$2,870,461	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	6
3 or more days	22

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	3
Longest run of consecutive away games	4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology