Elon

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Elon, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Chandler Cuthrell	70.7%	+1.6range +0.6 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	+4.9range +4.4 to +5.3Sufficient evidence	$72KspeculativeLoading	$22K to $230KLoading
Randall Pettus II	68.4%	-0.8range -1.6 to +0.2Sufficient evidence	+3.8range +3.3 to +4.3Sufficient evidence	$20KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $74KLoading
Bryson Cokley	68.0%	-0.8range -2.0 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+3.8range +3.2 to +4.4Sufficient evidence	$19KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $75KLoading
Isaac Harrell	66.5%	-1.3range -2.6 to -0.0Sufficient evidence	+3.5range +3.0 to +4.1Sufficient evidence	$15KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $66KLoading
Ja'Juan Carr	64.1%	-0.8range -2.1 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+3.6range +3.0 to +4.2Sufficient evidence	$19KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $73KLoading
Kacper Klaczek	50.3%	+1.2range +0.5 to +2.4Sufficient evidence	+3.5range +3.2 to +3.9Sufficient evidence	$47KspeculativeLoading	$14K to $145KLoading
Ned Hull	43.7%	+0.2range -0.7 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.5 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	$25KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $75KLoading
DeMarco Johnson	32.2%	-0.2range -1.2 to +1.0Sufficient evidence	+2.0range +1.7 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	$16KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $49KLoading
Caleb Middleton	20.8%	-0.4range -1.2 to +0.4Sufficient evidence	+1.3range +1.1 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	$9KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $30KLoading
Bryson Spell	12.1%	-3.6range -4.5 to -2.7Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $11KLoading
Iker Garmendia	3.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$3Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $7KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $290K; 80% Range $105K to $760K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $275K to $295K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 11; 1 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Chandler Cuthrell	70.7%	$72K	$22K to $230K	21.6%	$69K to $74K	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Randall Pettus II	68.4%	$20K	$2K to $74K	10.0%	$19K to $20K	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Bryson Cokley	68.0%	$19K	$2K to $75K	9.9%	$19K to $20K	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaac Harrell	66.5%	$15K	$2K to $66K	7.8%	$14K to $15K	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ja'Juan Carr	64.1%	$19K	$2K to $73K	9.5%	$18K to $19K	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kacper Klaczek	50.3%	$47K	$14K to $145K	14.5%	$45K to $48K	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ned Hull	43.7%	$25K	$6K to $75K	9.4%	$24K to $25K	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
DeMarco Johnson	32.2%	$16K	$3K to $49K	6.5%	$15K to $16K	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Caleb Middleton	20.8%	$9K	$2K to $30K	4.1%	$9K in all four	$3K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Bryson Spell	12.1%	$4K	$1K to $11K	1.3%	$3K to $4K	$3K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Iker Garmendia	3.3%	$3K	$1K to $7K	0.9%	$2K to $3K	$3K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$290K	$105K to $760K	100%	$275K to $295K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Elon University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$3,262,775	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$3,262,775
Athletics department expenses	$38,201,825
Athletics department revenue	$38,201,825

Coverage and exclusions

26 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (87%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

4 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$3,262,775	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$3,262,775	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
2 days	8
3 or more days	21

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	0
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology