Columbia
2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Noland | 85.4% | +1.3range +0.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | +5.5range +4.9 to +6.0Sufficient evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Blair Thompson | 80.3% | -0.5range -1.7 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +4.3range +3.6 to +4.9Sufficient evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Mason Ritter | 61.3% | -0.3range -1.1 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +3.0 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Miles Franklin | 55.5% | +0.9range -0.3 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +3.0 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Connor Igoe | 50.7% | +2.0range +0.6 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | +3.5range +3.1 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Gerard O'Keefe | 50.6% | -0.8range -2.1 to +0.2Sufficient evidence | +2.6range +2.2 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Ryan Soulis | 45.6% | +2.2range +1.1 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.8 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Hampton Sanders | 35.4% | +0.4range -0.6 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.8 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Richard Nweke | 13.7% | +0.2range -0.5 to +1.2Limited evidence | +0.8range +0.7 to +0.9Limited evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Zine Eddine Bedri | 11.9% | +0.5range -0.5 to +1.2Limited evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Limited evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Avery Brown | 4.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | Loading | Loading |
| Leland Coleman | 3.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | Loading | Loading |
| Josiah Cunningham | 1.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | Loading | Loading |
| Edwin Bai | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | Loading | Loading |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β
School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)
Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.
Coverage and exclusions
25 of 26 games passed lineup acceptance (96%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 1 of 26 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,169,578 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,169,578 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched through an NCES IPEDS institution alias, with state and home-venue city agreeing.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 3 |
| 2 days | 2 |
| 3 or more days | 20 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.2 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology