Cleveland St

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Cleveland St, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Tre Beard	72.6%	-1.1range -2.2 to +0.2Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.4 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$15KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $61KLoading
Jaidon Lipscomb	69.9%	+1.4range +0.2 to +2.4Sufficient evidence	+3.4range +3.0 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	$59KspeculativeLoading	$17K to $220KLoading
Chevalier Emery	54.3%	-4.4range -6.0 to -2.5Sufficient evidence	+1.4range +0.9 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $19KLoading
Foster Wonders	53.6%	-3.1range -4.5 to -1.3Sufficient evidence	+1.7range +1.3 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $27KLoading
Dayan Nessah	53.4%	+0.2range -0.8 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	+2.5range +2.2 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	$26KspeculativeLoading	$5K to $88KLoading
Preist Ryan	53.1%	-1.2range -2.3 to +0.2Sufficient evidence	+2.1range +1.8 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	$11KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $47KLoading
Josiah Harris	46.8%	-0.7range -1.7 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+2.0range +1.8 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	$13KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $52KLoading
Holden Pierre-Louis	35.9%	-1.7range -2.6 to -0.5Sufficient evidence	+1.4range +1.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	$5KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $27KLoading
Kamari Jones	19.6%	-2.2range -3.3 to -1.1Sufficient evidence	+0.8range +0.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $13KLoading
David Giddens	13.9%	-0.6range -1.5 to +0.5Limited evidence	+0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Limited evidence	$5KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $19KLoading
Ivan Spirov	8.8%	-2.5range -3.4 to -1.5Limited evidence	+0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence	$2KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $8KLoading
Manny Hill	7.9%	-1.3range -1.9 to -0.6Limited evidence	+0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $9KLoading
Lucas Burton	5.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading
Kevo St.Hilaire	4.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $190K; 80% Range $68K to $525K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $170K to $245K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 2 floor only

The widest scenario range, $88K to $670K, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Tre Beard	72.6%	$15K	$1K to $61K	12.1%	$13K to $19K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaidon Lipscomb	69.9%	$59K	$17K to $220K	27.0%	$53K to $76K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chevalier Emery	54.3%	$3K	$1K to $19K	1.1%	$3K to $4K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Foster Wonders	53.6%	$4K	$1K to $27K	2.5%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dayan Nessah	53.4%	$26K	$5K to $88K	13.4%	$23K to $33K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Preist Ryan	53.1%	$11K	$1K to $47K	8.8%	$10K to $14K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Josiah Harris	46.8%	$13K	$1K to $52K	9.1%	$12K to $17K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Holden Pierre-Louis	35.9%	$5K	$1K to $27K	4.9%	$5K to $7K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kamari Jones	19.6%	$3K	$1K to $13K	1.9%	$3K to $4K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
David Giddens	13.9%	$5K	$1K to $19K	3.3%	$5K to $7K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ivan Spirov	8.8%	$2K	$1K to $8K	1.1%	$2K to $3K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Manny Hill	7.9%	$3K	$1K to $9K	1.7%	$2K to $3K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Lucas Burton	5.8%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Kevo St.Hilaire	4.4%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$190K	$68K to $525K	100%	$170K to $245K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Cleveland State University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,667,151
Men's basketball expenses	$2,579,603
Athletics department expenses	$14,221,496
Athletics department revenue	$14,706,331

Coverage and exclusions

30 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (100%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

No exclusions were recorded.

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$2,667,151	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$2,579,603	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	5
3 or more days	23

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology