Clemson

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Clemson, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Dillon Hunter	70.1%	+3.2range +1.7 to +4.4Sufficient evidence	+6.4range +5.5 to +7.1Sufficient evidence	$525KspeculativeLoading	$315K to $850KLoading
Jestin Porter	66.5%	+3.7range +2.3 to +5.0Sufficient evidence	+6.2range +5.5 to +6.9Sufficient evidence	$550KspeculativeLoading	$350K to $865KLoading
RJ Godfrey	62.3%	+5.8range +4.0 to +7.3Sufficient evidence	+6.8range +6.0 to +7.4Sufficient evidence	$790KspeculativeLoading	$480K to $1.55MLoading
Nick Davidson	53.4%	+1.1range -0.2 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	+4.0range +3.4 to +4.6Sufficient evidence	$250KspeculativeLoading	$61K to $425KLoading
Efrem Johnson	52.9%	+0.9range -0.1 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	+3.9range +3.4 to +4.4Sufficient evidence	$235KspeculativeLoading	$60K to $400KLoading
Jake Wahlin	51.8%	+1.9range +0.3 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	+4.2range +3.6 to +4.7Sufficient evidence	$280KspeculativeLoading	$105K to $455KLoading
Ace Buckner	47.8%	+0.2range -1.3 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	+3.3range +2.8 to +3.9Sufficient evidence	$175KspeculativeLoading	$32K to $330KLoading
Carter Welling	47.4%	+2.4range +1.1 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	+4.0range +3.5 to +4.5Sufficient evidence	$305KspeculativeLoading	$150K to $485KLoading
Chase Thompson	22.5%	+1.8range +0.7 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	+1.8range +1.6 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	$140KspeculativeLoading	$67K to $220KLoading
Zac Foster	17.0%	+1.8range +1.0 to +2.8Sufficient evidence	+1.3range +1.2 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	$115KspeculativeLoading	$60K to $175KLoading
Dallas Thomas	7.1%	+1.6range +0.8 to +2.5Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence	$62KspeculativeLoading	$37K to $95KLoading
Trent Steinour	1.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$29Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$16K to $46KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $3.55M; 80% Range $2.60M to $5.00M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.55M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 1 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Dillon Hunter	70.1%	$525K	$315K to $850K	14.8%	$525K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Jestin Porter	66.5%	$550K	$350K to $865K	15.1%	$550K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
RJ Godfrey	62.3%	$790K	$480K to $1.55M	21.4%	$790K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Nick Davidson	53.4%	$250K	$61K to $425K	7.4%	$250K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Efrem Johnson	52.9%	$235K	$60K to $400K	7.1%	$235K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jake Wahlin	51.8%	$280K	$105K to $455K	8.3%	$280K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Ace Buckner	47.8%	$175K	$32K to $330K	5.1%	$175K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Carter Welling	47.4%	$305K	$150K to $485K	8.8%	$305K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Chase Thompson	22.5%	$140K	$67K to $220K	4.2%	$140K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Zac Foster	17.0%	$115K	$60K to $175K	3.4%	$115K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Dallas Thomas	7.1%	$62K	$37K to $95K	1.8%	$62K in all four	$29K	Limited evidence
Trent Steinour	1.2%	$29K	$16K to $46K	0.8%	$29K in all four	$29K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.55M	$2.60M to $5.00M	100%	$3.55M in all four	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Clemson University (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$12,592,738	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$12,592,738
Athletics department expenses	$186,106,774
Athletics department revenue	$186,106,774

Coverage and exclusions

33 of 35 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

2 of 35 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$12,592,738	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$12,592,738	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	2
2 days	2
3 or more days	30

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology