Bethune-Cookman

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Bethune-Cookman, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Jakobi Heady	89.7%	+2.5range +1.4 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	+6.4range +5.7 to +7.0Sufficient evidence	$63KspeculativeLoading	$21K to $190KLoading
Quentin Heady	64.3%	-1.2range -2.3 to +0.2Sufficient evidence	+3.2range +2.7 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	$8KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $38KLoading
Arterio Morris	62.1%	-1.1range -2.1 to -0.0Sufficient evidence	+3.1range +2.7 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	$8KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $37KLoading
Daniel Rouzan	59.0%	+0.5range -0.5 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	+3.5range +3.1 to +4.1Sufficient evidence	$20KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $64KLoading
Seneca Willoughby	55.1%	-0.4range -1.9 to +0.9Sufficient evidence	+3.0range +2.4 to +3.5Sufficient evidence	$11KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $42KLoading
Ariel Bland	49.5%	+0.5range -0.7 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	+3.0range +2.5 to +3.5Sufficient evidence	$17KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $51KLoading
Tyler Andrews	42.7%	+0.3range -1.1 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	+2.5range +2.1 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	$13KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $42KLoading
Jordan Johnson	39.0%	-2.6range -4.1 to -0.8Sufficient evidence	+1.6range +1.2 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $18KLoading
Rickey Mitchell Jr.	17.5%	-3.1range -4.1 to -1.8Sufficient evidence	+0.7range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	$2KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $9KLoading
Doctor Bradley	14.0%	+4.1range +2.8 to +5.1Limited evidence	+1.1range +1.0 to +1.2Limited evidence	$16KspeculativeLoading	$5K to $62KLoading
Dailon Minor	3.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading
David Onanina	3.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading
William Gonzalez	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading
Trayvon Barbary	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading
Simeon Womack	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $195K; 80% Range $69K to $520K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $185K to $215K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 15; 5 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Jakobi Heady	89.7%	$63K	$21K to $190K	30.8%	$61K to $70K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Quentin Heady	64.3%	$8K	$1K to $38K	6.7%	$8K to $9K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Arterio Morris	62.1%	$8K	$1K to $37K	6.6%	$8K to $9K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Daniel Rouzan	59.0%	$20K	$4K to $64K	11.4%	$19K to $22K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Seneca Willoughby	55.1%	$11K	$1K to $42K	7.7%	$10K to $12K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ariel Bland	49.5%	$17K	$3K to $51K	9.9%	$16K to $19K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tyler Andrews	42.7%	$13K	$2K to $42K	8.0%	$12K to $14K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jordan Johnson	39.0%	$3K	$1K to $18K	2.1%	$3K to $4K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Rickey Mitchell Jr.	17.5%	$2K	$1K to $9K	1.0%	$2K to $3K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Doctor Bradley	14.0%	$16K	$5K to $62K	7.3%	$15K to $18K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dailon Minor	3.5%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
David Onanina	3.0%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
William Gonzalez	0.3%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Trayvon Barbary	0.1%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Simeon Womack	0.1%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$195K	$69K to $520K	100%	$185K to $215K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Bethune-Cookman University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,970,796	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$1,970,796
Athletics department expenses	$15,063,919
Athletics department revenue	$15,063,919

Coverage and exclusions

28 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (90%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

3 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$1,970,796	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$1,970,796	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	8
3 or more days	21

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	0
Longest run of consecutive away games	4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology