Longwood
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Christmas | 76.6% | +0.3range -1.0 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +2.9 to +4.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Colby Garland | 75.5% | +0.4range -0.8 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +3.0 to +4.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kyrell Luc | 75.1% | +1.8range +0.4 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | +4.2range +3.5 to +4.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Angelo Brizzi | 56.4% | -0.4range -1.6 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +1.9 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Elijah Tucker | 51.9% | -0.9range -2.1 to +0.3Sufficient evidence | +2.0range +1.6 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaylen Benard | 40.9% | -1.5range -2.6 to -0.3Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.1 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Johan Nziemi | 39.5% | +2.2range +0.9 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | +2.3range +2.0 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Emanuel Richards | 30.5% | -1.0range -2.4 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| KJ McClurg | 27.4% | +0.5range -0.9 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.1 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trey Hicks | 16.5% | +0.2range -0.7 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| D.J. Jefferson | 5.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Leo Nordberg | 2.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Precious Idiaru | 1.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Stark Jones | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dom Payne | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kris Mickens | 0.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
27 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (93%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 2 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $4,627,089 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $4,053,871 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 5 |
| 3 or more days | 22 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 3 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology