Chase Walker
Only corroborated player-season records; not complete career coverage.
Observed career performance
1564:03 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 75
- Minutes per game
- 20:51
- Points per game
- 12.1
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 5.1 / 1.8
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 12.1 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| Per 40 minutes | 23.3 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 5.4 |
| Season totals | 910 | 386 | 135 | 57 | 33 | 148 | 211 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 328–600 | 54.7% | 8.0 | 15.3 |
| 2P | 312–544 | 57.4% | 7.3 | 13.9 |
| 3P | 16–56 | 28.6% | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| FT | 238–344 | 69.2% | 4.6 | 8.8 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.0% | 60.6% | 9.3% | 57.3% | 0.91 |
Combined corroborated seasons only; not complete career coverage. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Linked seasons
| Season | Team | G | MPG | Pts | Reb | Ast | Pts/40 | 3P% | FT% | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Chase Walker | Illinois St | 13 | 7:46 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 13.5 | — | 57.1%† | 49.8%† |
| 2025 Chase Walker | Illinois St | 30 | 24:37 | 14.6 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 23.7 | 28.0%† | 69.3% | 61.3% |
| 2026 Chase Walker | Illinois St. | 32 | 22:38 | 13.7 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 24.2 | 29.0%† | 70.1% | 60.8% |
Career identity corroborated by repeated game, team and individual-statistic matches. Unlinked seasons are excluded.
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Illinois St · Mid and high major · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $160K
- 80% range $60K to $435K
- Median share of team pool
- 22.1%
- team pool $665K, 80% range $300K to $1.45M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $145K to $165K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $5K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 51.8%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Illinois St: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Illinois St | $160Kspeculative | $60K to $435K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +6.2 | +4.9 to +7.4 | Sufficient evidence | +2.0 | +4.2 | +6.5range +5.9 to +7.1 | 2,387 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Illinois St | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +4.0 | +2.9 to +5.2 | Sufficient evidence | +2.1 | +1.9 | +5.0range +4.4 to +5.7 | 2,324 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Illinois St | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -1.8 | -2.2 to -1.1 | Limited evidence | -1.8 | +0.0 | +0.3range +0.2 to +0.4 | 325 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology