Marcus Adams Jr.
Only corroborated player-season records; not complete career coverage.
Observed career performance
872:54 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 38
- Minutes per game
- 22:58
- Points per game
- 11.3
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 4.0 / 1.0
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 11.3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Per 40 minutes | 19.7 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 3.3 |
| Season totals | 430 | 153 | 39 | 27 | 10 | 49 | 71 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 159–332 | 47.9% | 8.7 | 15.2 |
| 2P | 98–173 | 56.6% | 4.6 | 7.9 |
| 3P | 61–159 | 38.4% | 4.2 | 7.3 |
| FT | 51–70 | 72.9% | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.1% | 59.3% | 47.9% | 21.1% | 0.80 |
Combined corroborated seasons only; not complete career coverage. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Linked seasons
| Season | Team | G | MPG | Pts | Reb | Ast | Pts/40 | 3P% | FT% | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Marcus Adams Jr. | CS Northridge | 24 | 29:38 | 15.8 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 21.4 | 40.2% | 74.0% | 60.7% |
| 2026 Marcus Adams Jr. | Arizona St. | 14 | 11:33 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 12.4 | 29.6%† | 70.0%† | 50.2%† |
Career identity corroborated by repeated game, team and individual-statistic matches. Unlinked seasons are excluded.
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Arizona St · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $83K
- 80% range $34K to $140K
- Median share of team pool
- 2.5%
- team pool $3.55M, 80% range $2.55M to $4.95M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $83K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $28K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 12.3%
- Limited evidence
- Limited evidence
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Arizona St: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Arizona St | $83Kspeculative | $34K to $140K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +0.1 | -0.9 to +1.2 | Limited evidence | +0.8 | -0.7 | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.8 | 536 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail | |
| 2025 | CS Northridge | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +3.5 | +2.1 to +4.6 | Sufficient evidence | +2.1 | +1.4 | +4.8range +4.1 to +5.4 | 2,603 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology