Ariel Bland
Only corroborated player-season records; not complete career coverage.
Observed career performance
1320:02 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 81
- Minutes per game
- 16:18
- Points per game
- 4.1
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 4.3 / 0.9
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 4.1 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Per 40 minutes | 10.0 | 10.5 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 5.4 |
| Season totals | 330 | 345 | 76 | 38 | 86 | 83 | 177 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 136–224 | 60.7% | 2.8 | 6.8 |
| 2P | 136–218 | 62.4% | 2.7 | 6.6 |
| 3P | 0–6 | 0.0%† | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| FT | 58–100 | 58.0% | 1.2 | 3.0 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.7% | 61.6% | 2.7% | 44.6% | 0.92 |
Combined corroborated seasons only; not complete career coverage. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Linked seasons
| Season | Team | G | MPG | Pts | Reb | Ast | Pts/40 | 3P% | FT% | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 Ariel Bland | UC Santa Barbara | 6Few games | 4:57 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 5.4 | — | — | 40.0%† |
| 2024 Ariel Bland | UC Santa Barbara | 27 | 20:27 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 10.7 | 0.0%† | 50.9% | 59.6% |
| 2025 Ariel Bland | UC Santa Barbara | 17 | 7:12 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 9.2 | — | 83.3%† | 69.0%† |
| 2026 Ariel Bland | Bethune-Cookman | 31 | 19:52 | 4.8 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 9.7 | 0.0%† | 60.6% | 63.3% |
Career identity corroborated by repeated game, team and individual-statistic matches. Unlinked seasons are excluded.
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Bethune-Cookman · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $17K
- 80% range $3K to $51K
- Median share of team pool
- 9.9%
- team pool $195K, 80% range $69K to $520K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $16K to $19K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $1K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 49.5%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Bethune-Cookman: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Bethune-Cookman | $17Kspeculative | $3K to $51K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +0.5 | -0.7 to +1.9 | Sufficient evidence | +0.4 | +0.2 | +3.0range +2.5 to +3.5 | 1,991 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | UC Santa Barbara | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.6 | -1.2 to +0.1 | Limited evidence | -0.7 | +0.1 | +0.4range +0.4 to +0.5 | 322 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail | |
| 2024 | UC Santa Barbara | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +2.0 | +0.7 to +3.3 | Sufficient evidence | -0.2 | +2.3 | +2.9range +2.4 to +3.4 | 1,960 | Season detail | |
| 2022 | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — | development: in model selection | No model-implied value is published: fewer than 300 on-court possessions, or the team’s games were outside the lineup audit. | Not applicable | |||||||
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology