AJ Swinton
Only corroborated player-season records; not complete career coverage.
Observed career performance
660:31 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 51
- Minutes per game
- 12:57
- Points per game
- 3.6
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 1.6 / 0.4
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Per 40 minutes | 11.0 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3.6 |
| Season totals | 182 | 81 | 22 | 30 | 15 | 22 | 60 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 67–156 | 42.9% | 3.1 | 9.4 |
| 2P | 40–75 | 53.3%† | 1.5 | 4.5 |
| 3P | 27–81 | 33.3% | 1.6 | 4.9 |
| FT | 21–38 | 55.3% | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.6% | 52.7% | 51.9% | 24.4% | 1.00 |
Combined corroborated seasons only; not complete career coverage. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Linked seasons
| Season | Team | G | MPG | Pts | Reb | Ast | Pts/40 | 3P% | FT% | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 AJ Swinton | Florida St | 25 | 9:59 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 10.3 | 34.8%† | 53.3%† | 49.5%† |
| 2026 AJ Swinton | Florida St. | 26 | 15:49 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 11.5 | 32.8% | 56.5%† | 54.6%† |
Career identity corroborated by repeated game, team and individual-statistic matches. Unlinked seasons are excluded.
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Florida St · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $150K
- 80% range $34K to $275K
- Median share of team pool
- 4.5%
- team pool $3.55M, 80% range $2.60M to $4.90M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $150K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $29K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 30.9%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Florida St: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Florida St | $150Kspeculative | $34K to $275K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +0.3 | -1.3 to +1.9 | Sufficient evidence | +0.5 | -0.2 | +1.9range +1.5 to +2.2 | 1,328 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Florida St | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.3 | -1.2 to +0.5 | Sufficient evidence | -0.4 | +0.1 | +1.0range +0.8 to +1.2 | 812 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology