Justin Rochelin
Only corroborated player-season records; not complete career coverage.
Observed career performance
1795:36 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 94
- Minutes per game
- 19:06
- Points per game
- 5.8
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.8 / 0.7
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 5.8 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 2.6 |
| Per 40 minutes | 12.1 | 8.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 5.5 |
| Season totals | 542 | 361 | 65 | 76 | 15 | 104 | 246 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 187–438 | 42.7% | 4.7 | 9.8 |
| 2P | 113–221 | 51.1% | 2.4 | 4.9 |
| 3P | 74–217 | 34.1% | 2.3 | 4.8 |
| FT | 94–123 | 76.4% | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.1% | 55.1% | 49.5% | 28.1% | 0.63 |
Combined corroborated seasons only; not complete career coverage. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Linked seasons
| Season | Team | G | MPG | Pts | Reb | Ast | Pts/40 | 3P% | FT% | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Justin Rochelin | Oregon St | 8Few games | 12:03 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 8.3 | 38.5%† | 100.0%† | 44.8%† |
| 2024 Justin Rochelin | Oregon St | 26 | 10:58 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 8.1 | 24.4%† | 80.0%† | 44.9%† |
| 2025 Justin Rochelin | UC San Diego | 29 | 19:09 | 6.1 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 12.7 | 33.3% | 61.5% | 56.2% |
| 2026 Justin Rochelin | Pacific | 31 | 27:41 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 13.4 | 39.0% | 79.7% | 57.9% |
Career identity corroborated by repeated game, team and individual-statistic matches. Unlinked seasons are excluded.
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Pacific · Mid and high major · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $60K
- 80% range $12K to $160K
- Median share of team pool
- 11.0%
- team pool $665K, 80% range $290K to $1.45M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $59K to $63K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $5K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 67.9%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Pacific: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Pacific | $60Kspeculative | $12K to $160K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +0.5 | -0.9 to +1.9 | Sufficient evidence | -0.0 | +0.5 | +4.4range +3.8 to +5.1 | 2,603 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | UC San Diego | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +1.1 | -0.3 to +2.6 | Sufficient evidence | +0.7 | +0.4 | +1.8range +1.4 to +2.2 | 1,840 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Oregon St | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.7 | -1.3 to +0.2 | Sufficient evidence | -0.3 | -0.4 | +0.8range +0.6 to +0.9 | 939 | Season detail | |
| 2023 | Oregon St | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -1.0 | -1.8 to -0.2 | Limited evidence | -1.1 | +0.1 | +0.2range +0.2 to +0.3 | 302 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology