Caden Hawkins
Southern Ill. · 2025–26 · 14 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
65:44 minutes logged Under 100 minutes
- Games logged
- 14
- Minutes per game
- 4:42
- Points per game
- 1.1
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 0.3 / 0.3
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Per 40 minutes | 9.1 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| Season totals | 15 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 4–13 | 30.8%† | 0.9 | 7.9 |
| 2P | 1–3 | 33.3%† | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| 3P | 3–10 | 30.0%† | 0.7 | 6.1 |
| FT | 4–9 | 44.4%† | 0.6 | 5.5 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.3%† | 44.2%† | 76.9%† | 69.2%† | 1.00 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25); the field-goal floor applies to the derived rates above. Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
S Illinois · Mid and high major · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $5K
- 80% range $2K to $12K
- Median share of team pool
- 0.8%
- team pool $635K, 80% range $280K to $1.40M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $5K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $5K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 4.9%
- Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
- Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
S Illinois: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
No model-implied value is published for this player: fewer than 300 on-court possessions in every season, or the team’s games were outside the lineup audit.
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Not applicable | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | No model-implied value is published. |
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 3:00 | 4:42 | 0:03–17:23 | |
| Points | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.0–4.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 45.0% | 46.9% | 0.0%–150.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Evansville | W 81–67 | 2:16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-25 | Indiana St. | W 66–55 | 1:39 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-18 | Drake | W 66–61 | 0:03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-12 | Evansville | W 86–60 | 3:23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 150.0% |
| 2026-02-06 | Murray St. | L 81–91 | 7:38 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-21 | Valparaiso | L 63–69 | 8:30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 75.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Belmont | L 68–73 | 17:23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-14 | Drake | L 73–76 | 3:22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-21 | Bradley | L 69–73 | 5:11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-10 | UT Martin | W 83–54 | 3:37 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 100.0% |
| 2025-11-26 | Memphis | L 58–74 | 1:08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-23 | Delaware | W 79–59 | 3:09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-17 | North Dakota St. | L 85–92 | 2:01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-07 · NCAA | Kansas City | W 101–78 | 6:24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 50.0% |