Alex Kovatchev
Florida · 2025–26 · 15 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
45:06 minutes logged Under 100 minutes
- Games logged
- 15
- Minutes per game
- 3:00
- Points per game
- 0.5
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 0.4 / 0.1
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Per 40 minutes | 7.1 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Season totals | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 3–12 | 25.0%† | 0.8 | 10.6 |
| 2P | 1–3 | 33.3%† | 0.2 | 2.7 |
| 3P | 2–9 | 22.2%† | 0.6 | 8.0 |
| FT | 0–0 | — | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.3%† | 33.3%† | 75.0%† | 0.0%† | 1.00 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25); the field-goal floor applies to the derived rates above. Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Florida · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $25K
- 80% range $14K to $40K
- Median share of team pool
- 0.7%
- team pool $3.55M, 80% range $2.60M to $4.95M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $25K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $25K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 3.2%
- Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
- Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Florida: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Not applicable | $25Kspeculative, floor only | $14K to $40K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | No model-implied value is published: fewer than 300 on-court possessions, or the team’s games were outside the lineup audit. | Not applicable | |||||||
| 2024 | CS Sacramento | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -1.8 | -3.0 to -0.6 | Sufficient evidence | -1.8 | -0.0 | +1.5range +1.0 to +2.0 | 2,181 | Season detail | |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 2:25 | 3:00 | 0:22–11:09 | |
| Points | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0–5.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 42.5% | 42.5% | 0.0%–150.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Prairie View | W 114–55 | 5:14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 62.5% |
| 2026-03-03 | Mississippi St. | W 108–74 | 1:44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Arkansas | W 111–77 | 1:19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-21 | Ole Miss | W 94–75 | 2:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-17 | South Carolina | W 76–62 | 1:48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-11 | Georgia | W 86–66 | 0:22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-07 | Texas A&M | W 86–67 | 1:15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-01 | Alabama | W 100–77 | 0:49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-01-28 | South Carolina | W 95–48 | 1:28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-01-20 | LSU | W 79–61 | 0:49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-12-29 | Dartmouth | W 94–72 | 9:30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-21 | Colgate | W 90–60 | 11:09 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-17 | Saint Francis | W 102–61 | 3:42 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 150.0% |
| 2025-11-21 | Merrimack | W 80–45 | 2:21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-06 | North Florida | W 104–64 | 1:36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |