East Texas A&M

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for East Texas A&M, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Gianni Hunt	78.4%	+1.2range -0.1 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	+4.1range +3.5 to +4.5Sufficient evidence	$59KspeculativeLoading	$18K to $195KLoading
Ronnie Harrison	66.6%	-2.3range -3.4 to -0.9Sufficient evidence	+2.5range +2.1 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $38KLoading
Noah Pagotto	65.4%	+0.5range -0.7 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	+3.3range +2.9 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	$34KspeculativeLoading	$9K to $130KLoading
Damian Garcia	63.2%	-1.0range -2.2 to +0.3Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.4 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$14KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $56KLoading
Vinny Sigona	44.8%	-1.6range -2.9 to -0.1Sufficient evidence	+1.9range +1.6 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	$8KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $36KLoading
Josh Taylor	43.3%	-1.8range -2.6 to -1.0Sufficient evidence	+1.8range +1.6 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $28KLoading
Evan Phelps	37.1%	-3.0range -4.1 to -2.0Sufficient evidence	+1.3range +1.0 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $19KLoading
Tay Mosher	29.7%	+0.6range -0.8 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	+1.6range +1.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	$17KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $66KLoading
London Fields	28.9%	-3.1range -4.2 to -2.0Sufficient evidence	+1.0range +0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $15KLoading
Michael Folarin	24.6%	-1.3range -2.1 to -0.3Sufficient evidence	+1.1range +1.0 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	$5KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $21KLoading
Alex McCray	17.1%	-3.7range -4.7 to -2.6Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $10KLoading
Parker Whisenhunt	0.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading
Mykol Sanchez-Vega	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $200K; 80% Range $75K to $540K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $195K to $205K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Gianni Hunt	78.4%	$59K	$18K to $195K	26.5%	$58K to $59K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ronnie Harrison	66.6%	$6K	$1K to $38K	5.2%	$6K to $7K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Noah Pagotto	65.4%	$34K	$9K to $130K	16.7%	$34K to $35K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Damian Garcia	63.2%	$14K	$1K to $56K	10.4%	$14K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Vinny Sigona	44.8%	$8K	$1K to $36K	5.7%	$7K to $8K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Josh Taylor	43.3%	$6K	$1K to $28K	4.2%	$5K to $6K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Evan Phelps	37.1%	$4K	$1K to $19K	1.1%	$4K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tay Mosher	29.7%	$17K	$4K to $66K	8.1%	$17K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
London Fields	28.9%	$3K	$1K to $15K	1.1%	$3K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Michael Folarin	24.6%	$5K	$1K to $21K	3.9%	$5K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Alex McCray	17.1%	$3K	$1K to $10K	1.1%	$3K in all four	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Parker Whisenhunt	0.9%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.8%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Mykol Sanchez-Vega	0.1%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.8%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$200K	$75K to $540K	100%	$195K to $205K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, East Texas A&M University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,757,485
Men's basketball expenses	$1,756,914
Athletics department expenses	$18,247,569
Athletics department revenue	$21,855,372

Coverage and exclusions

24 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (80%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

6 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$1,757,485	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$1,756,914	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	11
3 or more days	17

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	2
Longest run of consecutive away games	4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology