Wagner
2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Jones | 81.5% | +0.1range -0.9 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | +4.6range +4.0 to +5.1Sufficient evidence | Loading | Loading |
| John Awoke | 60.2% | +0.5range -0.5 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +3.2 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Binael Basil | 59.0% | -0.8range -1.8 to +0.2Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.7 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Eddie Placer | 58.6% | -0.7range -1.7 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.7 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Bryan Akanmu | 54.5% | +0.3range -0.9 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.7 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Jaden Baker | 54.4% | -1.0range -1.5 to -0.4Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.5 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Travis Gray | 48.8% | +0.1range -0.9 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.5 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Michael Cooper | 37.6% | +0.4range -0.3 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +2.3range +2.0 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Zavier Fitch | 21.9% | +1.1range +0.5 to +1.5Limited evidence | +1.4range +1.3 to +1.5Limited evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Makhai Anderson | 12.7% | +0.2range -0.9 to +1.0Limited evidence | +0.8range +0.6 to +0.8Limited evidence | Loading | Loading |
| Elijah Brown | 8.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | Loading | Loading |
| Huascar Cuevas | 2.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | Loading | Loading |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β
School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)
Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.
Coverage and exclusions
20 of 28 games passed lineup acceptance (71%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 8 of 28 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,020,071 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,020,071 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 2 days | 9 |
| 3 or more days | 18 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 7 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology