St John's
2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zuby Ejiofor | 75.2% | +6.0range +4.7 to +7.1Sufficient evidence | +8.9range +8.1 to +9.7Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Bryce Hopkins | 72.1% | +4.8range +3.5 to +6.1Sufficient evidence | +7.8range +6.9 to +8.6Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Oziyah Sellers | 71.5% | +3.3range +2.1 to +4.6Sufficient evidence | +6.8range +6.0 to +7.6Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Dillon Mitchell | 69.3% | +5.3range +3.8 to +6.5Sufficient evidence | +7.7range +6.8 to +8.5Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Joson Sanon | 51.9% | -0.5range -1.9 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.7 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Dylan Darling | 51.1% | +4.6range +3.4 to +5.9Sufficient evidence | +5.2range +4.6 to +5.8Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Ian Jackson | 44.8% | +1.2range +0.0 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +2.9 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Rubén Prey | 25.9% | +3.6range +2.4 to +4.7Sufficient evidence | +2.3range +2.1 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo | 16.3% | +1.6range +0.9 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +1.1 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos | 14.4% | +2.2range +1.1 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +1.0 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Kelvin Odih | 4.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | Not published | Not published |
| Casper Pohto | 2.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | Not published | Not published |
| Handje Tamba | 1.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | Not published | Not published |
| Fotis Konstantinidis | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | Not published | Not published |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
36 of 37 games passed lineup acceptance (97%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 1 of 37 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $31,994,396 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $31,994,396 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 4 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 31 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology