St Bonaventure

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for St Bonaventure, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Darryl Simmons II	89.4%	+0.3range -0.4 to +1.1Sufficient evidence	+6.5range +5.8 to +7.1Sufficient evidence	$73KspeculativeLoading	$17K to $190KLoading
Frank Mitchell	84.4%	+1.2range +0.0 to +2.4Sufficient evidence	+6.6range +5.9 to +7.3Sufficient evidence	$100KspeculativeLoading	$32K to $270KLoading
Dasonte Bowen	84.0%	+1.2range +0.3 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	+6.6range +5.9 to +7.3Sufficient evidence	$100KspeculativeLoading	$39K to $255KLoading
Cayden Charles	83.4%	+1.7range +0.8 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	+6.9range +6.1 to +7.5Sufficient evidence	$125KspeculativeLoading	$50K to $310KLoading
Daniel Egbuniwe	52.8%	-0.8range -2.4 to +0.3Sufficient evidence	+3.5range +2.8 to +4.0Sufficient evidence	$26KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $89KLoading
Joseph Grahovac	44.5%	+1.3range +0.1 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	+3.6range +3.1 to +4.1Sufficient evidence	$58KspeculativeLoading	$19K to $150KLoading
Andrew Osasuyi	27.4%	+2.6range +1.4 to +4.0Sufficient evidence	+2.5range +2.3 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	$59KspeculativeLoading	$22K to $170KLoading
Achille Lonati	16.1%	-0.5range -1.5 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+1.1range +1.0 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	$13KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $37KLoading
Amar’e Marshall	10.9%	+0.2range -0.4 to +0.9Limited evidence	+0.8range +0.7 to +0.9Limited evidence	$13KspeculativeLoading	$5K to $32KLoading
Ilia Ermakov	5.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$5Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $12KLoading
Broek Ostrom	0.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$5Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $12KLoading
Xander Wedlow	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$5Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $12KLoading
Jack DeRose	0.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$5Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $12KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $630K; 80% Range $275K to $1.45M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $585K to $845K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 4 floor only

The widest scenario range, $365K to $1.80M, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Darryl Simmons II	89.4%	$73K	$17K to $190K	14.0%	$67K to $97K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Frank Mitchell	84.4%	$100K	$32K to $270K	16.6%	$93K to $135K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dasonte Bowen	84.0%	$100K	$39K to $255K	16.8%	$94K to $135K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cayden Charles	83.4%	$125K	$50K to $310K	18.6%	$115K to $165K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Daniel Egbuniwe	52.8%	$26K	$4K to $89K	5.3%	$24K to $35K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Joseph Grahovac	44.5%	$58K	$19K to $150K	9.3%	$53K to $77K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Andrew Osasuyi	27.4%	$59K	$22K to $170K	8.5%	$54K to $78K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Achille Lonati	16.1%	$13K	$4K to $37K	2.5%	$12K to $17K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Amar’e Marshall	10.9%	$13K	$5K to $32K	2.3%	$12K to $17K	$5K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ilia Ermakov	5.9%	$5K	$2K to $12K	0.8%	$4K to $6K	$5K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Broek Ostrom	0.6%	$5K	$2K to $12K	0.8%	$4K to $6K	$5K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Xander Wedlow	0.5%	$5K	$2K to $12K	0.8%	$4K to $6K	$5K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Jack DeRose	0.2%	$5K	$2K to $12K	0.8%	$4K to $6K	$5K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$630K	$275K to $1.45M	100%	$585K to $845K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, St Bonaventure University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$5,859,386	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$5,859,386
Athletics department expenses	$21,541,415
Athletics department revenue	$21,541,415

Coverage and exclusions

33 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (100%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

No exclusions were recorded.

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$5,859,386	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$5,859,386	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	2
2 days	2
3 or more days	28

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	3
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology