South Carolina

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for South Carolina, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Meechie Johnson	78.6%	+1.2range +0.1 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	+4.3range +3.8 to +4.9Sufficient evidence	$645KspeculativeLoading	$375K to $1.10MLoading
Kobe Knox	75.4%	-0.1range -1.2 to +1.0Sufficient evidence	+3.7range +3.1 to +4.1Sufficient evidence	$375KspeculativeLoading	$41K to $660KLoading
Mike Sharavjamts	74.6%	+1.6range +0.2 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	+4.2range +3.7 to +4.8Sufficient evidence	$680KspeculativeLoading	$395K to $1.30MLoading
Eli Ellis	55.9%	+0.4range -0.8 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	+2.9range +2.5 to +3.4Sufficient evidence	$360KspeculativeLoading	$105K to $610KLoading
Myles Stute	49.1%	+0.3range -1.2 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	+2.6range +2.1 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	$310KspeculativeLoading	$53K to $555KLoading
Elijah Strong	43.2%	-0.4range -1.7 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	+2.1range +1.8 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	$200KspeculativeLoading	$29K to $365KLoading
Grant Polk	29.7%	-0.1range -1.3 to +0.9Sufficient evidence	+1.5range +1.3 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	$155KspeculativeLoading	$33K to $275KLoading
EJ Walker	27.7%	-1.3range -2.2 to -0.6Sufficient evidence	+1.2range +1.1 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	$89KspeculativeLoading	$20K to $200KLoading
Nordin Kapic	18.7%	+0.7range -0.5 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	+1.1range +0.9 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	$145KspeculativeLoading	$61K to $255KLoading
Hayden Assemian	17.1%	+1.9range +0.8 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	+1.1range +0.9 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	$195KspeculativeLoading	$110K to $485KLoading
Jordan Butler	15.1%	+0.6range -0.1 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	+0.8range +0.7 to +0.9Sufficient evidence	$115KspeculativeLoading	$58K to $190KLoading
Christ Essandoko	12.0%	+0.1range -0.6 to +0.8Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.6 to +0.7Limited evidence	$83KspeculativeLoading	$37K to $135KLoading
Eli Sparkman	2.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$27Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $3.55M; 80% Range $2.55M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.55M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 1 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Meechie Johnson	78.6%	$645K	$375K to $1.10M	17.6%	$645K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Kobe Knox	75.4%	$375K	$41K to $660K	11.4%	$375K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mike Sharavjamts	74.6%	$680K	$395K to $1.30M	18.0%	$680K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Eli Ellis	55.9%	$360K	$105K to $610K	10.5%	$360K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Myles Stute	49.1%	$310K	$53K to $555K	9.0%	$310K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Elijah Strong	43.2%	$200K	$29K to $365K	6.2%	$200K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Grant Polk	29.7%	$155K	$33K to $275K	4.8%	$155K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
EJ Walker	27.7%	$89K	$20K to $200K	2.8%	$89K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nordin Kapic	18.7%	$145K	$61K to $255K	4.1%	$145K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Hayden Assemian	17.1%	$195K	$110K to $485K	5.1%	$195K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Jordan Butler	15.1%	$115K	$58K to $190K	3.4%	$115K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Christ Essandoko	12.0%	$83K	$37K to $135K	2.5%	$83K in all four	$27K	Limited evidence
Eli Sparkman	2.8%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.55M	$2.55M to $4.95M	100%	$3.55M in all four	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of South Carolina-Columbia (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$15,446,053
Men's basketball expenses	$11,074,153
Athletics department expenses	$203,259,302
Athletics department revenue	$204,566,524

Coverage and exclusions

30 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

2 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$15,446,053	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$11,074,153	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
2 days	1
3 or more days	30

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	0
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology