Robert Morris

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Robert Morris, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Ryan Prather Jr.	83.8%	+2.6range +1.4 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	+7.4range +6.6 to +8.2Sufficient evidence	$48KspeculativeLoading	$17K to $135KLoading
DeSean Goode	76.6%	+3.9range +2.7 to +5.2Sufficient evidence	+7.5range +6.7 to +8.2Sufficient evidence	$66KspeculativeLoading	$22K to $200KLoading
Nikolaos Chitikoudis	64.2%	+0.8range -0.8 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	+4.9range +4.0 to +5.5Sufficient evidence	$20KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $64KLoading
Darius Livingston	54.3%	+0.4range -0.6 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	+3.9range +3.4 to +4.5Sufficient evidence	$15KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $49KLoading
Albert Vargas	49.8%	+1.3range -0.1 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	+3.9range +3.3 to +4.5Sufficient evidence	$20KspeculativeLoading	$5K to $59KLoading
Kaleb Brown	47.6%	-0.8range -1.8 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+3.0range +2.6 to +3.5Sufficient evidence	$8KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $33KLoading
Ta'Zir Smith	44.2%	-0.2range -0.9 to +0.6Sufficient evidence	+3.0range +2.6 to +3.4Sufficient evidence	$9KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $34KLoading
Josh Hill	27.1%	-1.6range -3.2 to +0.1Sufficient evidence	+1.5range +1.2 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $17KLoading
Cam Wilds	19.9%	-0.3range -1.3 to +0.7Sufficient evidence	+1.3range +1.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	$5KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $17KLoading
Samuel Obenjo	16.8%	+0.7range -0.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	+1.2range +1.1 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	$7KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $20KLoading
Eddie Cooke III	7.7%	+0.9range +0.3 to +1.3Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $11KLoading
Ubong Okon	7.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $4KLoading
Jeremiah Littlejohn	0.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $4KLoading
Cyril Arvanitis	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $4KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $230K; 80% Range $83K to $620K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $225K to $245K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 3 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Ryan Prather Jr.	83.8%	$48K	$17K to $135K	20.5%	$46K to $50K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
DeSean Goode	76.6%	$66K	$22K to $200K	27.3%	$63K to $69K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nikolaos Chitikoudis	64.2%	$20K	$4K to $64K	10.5%	$19K to $21K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Darius Livingston	54.3%	$15K	$3K to $49K	8.1%	$15K to $16K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Albert Vargas	49.8%	$20K	$5K to $59K	9.5%	$19K to $21K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kaleb Brown	47.6%	$8K	$1K to $33K	4.8%	$8K to $9K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ta'Zir Smith	44.2%	$9K	$2K to $34K	5.4%	$9K to $10K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Josh Hill	27.1%	$4K	$1K to $17K	2.2%	$4K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cam Wilds	19.9%	$5K	$1K to $17K	2.8%	$5K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Samuel Obenjo	16.8%	$7K	$2K to $20K	3.3%	$6K to $7K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Eddie Cooke III	7.7%	$4K	$1K to $11K	1.9%	$4K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ubong Okon	7.0%	$2K	$1K to $4K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Jeremiah Littlejohn	0.9%	$2K	$1K to $4K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Cyril Arvanitis	0.1%	$2K	$1K to $4K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$230K	$83K to $620K	100%	$225K to $245K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Robert Morris University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,480,793	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,480,793
Athletics department expenses	$21,223,070
Athletics department revenue	$21,223,070

Coverage and exclusions

29 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

2 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$2,480,793	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$2,480,793	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
2 days	7
3 or more days	23

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	4
Longest run of consecutive away games	4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology