Purdue

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Purdue, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Braden Smith	86.0%	+5.7range +4.5 to +6.6Sufficient evidence	+10.2range +9.2 to +11.0Sufficient evidence	$705KspeculativeLoading	$480K to $1.00MLoading
Fletcher Loyer	73.5%	+6.2range +4.7 to +7.6Sufficient evidence	+9.0range +7.8 to +9.9Sufficient evidence	$650KspeculativeLoading	$435K to $990KLoading
Trey Kaufman-Renn	66.6%	+5.9range +4.5 to +7.1Sufficient evidence	+7.9range +7.0 to +8.8Sufficient evidence	$565KspeculativeLoading	$375K to $850KLoading
C.J. Cox	61.3%	+5.6range +4.4 to +6.7Sufficient evidence	+7.1range +6.3 to +7.8Sufficient evidence	$495KspeculativeLoading	$340K to $725KLoading
Oscar Cluff	61.0%	+6.2range +4.8 to +7.6Sufficient evidence	+7.3range +6.5 to +8.1Sufficient evidence	$550KspeculativeLoading	$365K to $830KLoading
Gicarri Harris	38.2%	+0.0range -1.2 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	+2.6range +2.2 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	$99KspeculativeLoading	$27K to $220KLoading
Omer Mayer	35.4%	+0.6range -0.7 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	+2.6range +2.1 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	$110KspeculativeLoading	$30K to $215KLoading
Jack Benter	35.3%	+1.5range +0.3 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.4 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$140KspeculativeLoading	$46K to $250KLoading
Daniel Jacobsen	33.2%	+0.5range -0.9 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	+2.4range +2.0 to +2.8Sufficient evidence	$105KspeculativeLoading	$29K to $205KLoading
Liam Murphy	5.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$27Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading
Aaron Fine	1.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$27Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading
Jack Lusk	1.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$27Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading
Jace Rayl	1.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$27Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $3.60M; 80% Range $2.60M to $5.00M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.60M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 4 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Braden Smith	86.0%	$705K	$480K to $1.00M	19.2%	$705K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Fletcher Loyer	73.5%	$650K	$435K to $990K	17.5%	$650K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Trey Kaufman-Renn	66.6%	$565K	$375K to $850K	15.4%	$565K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
C.J. Cox	61.3%	$495K	$340K to $725K	13.6%	$495K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Oscar Cluff	61.0%	$550K	$365K to $830K	15.0%	$550K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Gicarri Harris	38.2%	$99K	$27K to $220K	2.9%	$99K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Omer Mayer	35.4%	$110K	$30K to $215K	3.2%	$110K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jack Benter	35.3%	$140K	$46K to $250K	4.1%	$140K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Daniel Jacobsen	33.2%	$105K	$29K to $205K	3.0%	$105K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Liam Murphy	5.6%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Aaron Fine	1.5%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Jack Lusk	1.2%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Jace Rayl	1.0%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.60M	$2.60M to $5.00M	100%	$3.60M in all four	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Purdue University-Main Campus (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$20,966,991
Men's basketball expenses	$14,040,438
Athletics department expenses	$135,140,397
Athletics department revenue	$150,536,320

Coverage and exclusions

36 of 39 games passed lineup acceptance (92%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

3 of 39 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$20,966,991	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$14,040,438	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	4
2 days	2
3 or more days	32

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.6
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology