Northeastern

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Northeastern, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Mike Loughnane	80.4%	-0.9range -2.0 to +0.3Sufficient evidence	+4.0range +3.5 to +4.5Sufficient evidence	$22KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $90KLoading
William Kermoury	61.0%	+0.0range -1.0 to +1.1Sufficient evidence	+3.4range +3.0 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	$32KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $105KLoading
Luca Soroa Schaller	50.7%	-0.2range -1.4 to +1.0Sufficient evidence	+2.9range +2.5 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$23KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $87KLoading
JB Frankel	50.1%	-0.5range -1.5 to +1.0Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.4 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$22KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $79KLoading
Xavier Abreu	50.0%	-2.1range -3.2 to -1.0Sufficient evidence	+2.3range +1.9 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	$7KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $42KLoading
Youri Fritz	49.7%	+0.7range -0.3 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	+3.1range +2.7 to +3.5Sufficient evidence	$43KspeculativeLoading	$11K to $150KLoading
Ryan Williams	33.8%	-0.5range -1.4 to +0.6Sufficient evidence	+1.9range +1.7 to +2.2Sufficient evidence	$15KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $56KLoading
Petar Pinter	32.9%	-1.9range -3.2 to -0.9Sufficient evidence	+1.6range +1.3 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $30KLoading
Ty Francis	28.8%	-1.1range -2.2 to -0.1Sufficient evidence	+1.6range +1.3 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	$8KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $34KLoading
Xander Alarie	22.4%	+1.0range -0.1 to +2.2Sufficient evidence	+1.5range +1.3 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	$23KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $80KLoading
Liam Koelsch	17.9%	+1.5range +0.6 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	+1.3range +1.1 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	$22KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $87KLoading
Haris Elezovic	12.2%	-0.4range -0.9 to +0.2Limited evidence	+0.7range +0.7 to +0.8Limited evidence	$7KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $21KLoading
Miles Newton	8.6%	+0.7range +0.1 to +1.3Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence	$9KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $28KLoading
LA Pratt	1.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $295K; 80% Range $105K to $805K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $290K to $295K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 1 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Mike Loughnane	80.4%	$22K	$2K to $90K	11.6%	$21K to $22K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
William Kermoury	61.0%	$32K	$6K to $105K	12.2%	$31K to $32K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Luca Soroa Schaller	50.7%	$23K	$3K to $87K	9.5%	$23K to $24K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
JB Frankel	50.1%	$22K	$3K to $79K	9.2%	$21K to $22K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Xavier Abreu	50.0%	$7K	$1K to $42K	3.8%	$7K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Youri Fritz	49.7%	$43K	$11K to $150K	13.2%	$42K to $43K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ryan Williams	33.8%	$15K	$2K to $56K	6.3%	$15K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Petar Pinter	32.9%	$6K	$1K to $30K	2.9%	$6K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ty Francis	28.8%	$8K	$1K to $34K	4.2%	$8K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Xander Alarie	22.4%	$23K	$7K to $80K	6.7%	$22K to $23K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Liam Koelsch	17.9%	$22K	$7K to $87K	6.2%	$22K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Haris Elezovic	12.2%	$7K	$2K to $21K	2.8%	$7K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Miles Newton	8.6%	$9K	$3K to $28K	2.8%	$9K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
LA Pratt	1.5%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$295K	$105K to $805K	100%	$290K to $295K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Northeastern University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$3,701,414	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$3,701,414
Athletics department expenses	$39,796,041
Athletics department revenue	$39,796,041

Coverage and exclusions

28 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (93%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

2 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$3,701,414	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$3,701,414	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	8
3 or more days	20

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	4
Longest run of consecutive away games	5

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology