New Hampshire

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for New Hampshire, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Davide Poser	70.9%	-1.7range -2.9 to -0.3Sufficient evidence	+2.5range +2.0 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	$15KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $72KLoading
Jack Graham	70.5%	-2.7range -3.8 to -1.7Sufficient evidence	+2.2range +1.8 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	$7KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $55KLoading
John Squire	65.7%	-1.6range -3.1 to +0.4Sufficient evidence	+2.3range +1.9 to +2.8Sufficient evidence	$19KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $87KLoading
Belal El Shakery	64.8%	+1.1range -0.3 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	+3.0range +2.6 to +3.4Sufficient evidence	$77KspeculativeLoading	$20K to $280KLoading
Tyler Bike	56.8%	+0.8range -0.1 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	+2.6range +2.3 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	$62KspeculativeLoading	$17K to $230KLoading
KiJan Robinson	54.2%	-1.9range -3.2 to -0.2Sufficient evidence	+1.9range +1.5 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	$13KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $63KLoading
R.J. Kennedy	48.2%	-2.1range -3.5 to -0.8Sufficient evidence	+1.6range +1.3 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	$7KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $46KLoading
Comeh Emuobor	42.7%	-2.7range -3.7 to -1.6Sufficient evidence	+1.4range +1.1 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $36KLoading
Giannos Xanthopoulos	15.5%	-0.8range -1.7 to +0.0Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.6 to +0.7Limited evidence	$7KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $26KLoading
Jon O'Neill	6.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading
Dylan Saunders	2.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading
Myles Blackley	1.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading
Nick Sanford	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading
Antoni Siewruk	0.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $295K; 80% Range $105K to $785K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $235K to $325K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 5 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Davide Poser	70.9%	$15K	$1K to $72K	8.7%	$12K to $17K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jack Graham	70.5%	$7K	$1K to $55K	3.0%	$6K to $8K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
John Squire	65.7%	$19K	$1K to $87K	9.6%	$15K to $21K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Belal El Shakery	64.8%	$77K	$20K to $280K	23.0%	$60K to $84K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tyler Bike	56.8%	$62K	$17K to $230K	18.6%	$49K to $68K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
KiJan Robinson	54.2%	$13K	$1K to $63K	6.7%	$10K to $14K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
R.J. Kennedy	48.2%	$7K	$1K to $46K	4.1%	$6K to $8K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Comeh Emuobor	42.7%	$6K	$1K to $36K	1.8%	$5K to $7K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Giannos Xanthopoulos	15.5%	$7K	$1K to $26K	3.2%	$6K to $8K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jon O'Neill	6.6%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Dylan Saunders	2.2%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Myles Blackley	1.0%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Nick Sanford	0.5%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Antoni Siewruk	0.4%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$295K	$105K to $785K	100%	$235K to $325K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of New Hampshire-Main Campus (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,260,633	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,260,633
Athletics department expenses	$44,558,664
Athletics department revenue	$44,558,664

Coverage and exclusions

25 of 27 games passed lineup acceptance (93%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

2 of 27 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$2,260,633	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$2,260,633	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
2 days	5
3 or more days	21

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.2
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology