Missouri

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Missouri, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Mark Mitchell	84.1%	+3.2range +1.9 to +4.7Sufficient evidence	+6.3range +5.7 to +7.0Sufficient evidence	$795KspeculativeLoading	$500K to $1.35MLoading
Anthony Robinson II	66.9%	+2.5range +1.0 to +3.9Sufficient evidence	+4.9range +4.2 to +5.4Sufficient evidence	$510KspeculativeLoading	$290K to $870KLoading
Jayden Stone	57.9%	+2.4range +0.8 to +4.0Sufficient evidence	+4.2range +3.7 to +4.7Sufficient evidence	$445KspeculativeLoading	$250K to $760KLoading
T.O. Barrett	56.1%	-0.1range -1.1 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	+3.3range +2.9 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	$220KspeculativeLoading	$33K to $405KLoading
Jacob Crews	51.3%	+1.9range +0.8 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	+3.6range +3.2 to +4.1Sufficient evidence	$355KspeculativeLoading	$190K to $565KLoading
Shawn Phillips Jr.	48.1%	+1.0range -0.6 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	+3.1range +2.5 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	$240KspeculativeLoading	$53K to $415KLoading
Trent Pierce	41.1%	+1.7range +0.6 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	+2.9range +2.6 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$270KspeculativeLoading	$130K to $430KLoading
Sebastian Mack	23.5%	-0.3range -1.6 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	+1.4range +1.2 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	$98KspeculativeLoading	$27K to $185KLoading
Luke Northweather	19.3%	+2.1range +1.2 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	+1.4range +1.3 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	$155KspeculativeLoading	$95K to $240KLoading
Jevon Porter	17.3%	+3.8range +2.6 to +5.1Sufficient evidence	+1.5range +1.3 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	$205KspeculativeLoading	$130K to $390KLoading
Annor Boateng	13.0%	-1.7range -2.8 to -0.1Limited evidence	+0.7range +0.5 to +0.8Limited evidence	$47KspeculativeLoading	$20K to $97KLoading
Trent Burns	12.7%	-0.6range -1.7 to +0.7Limited evidence	+0.7range +0.6 to +0.9Limited evidence	$60KspeculativeLoading	$23K to $110KLoading
Nicholas Randall	8.7%	-2.9range -3.8 to -1.6Limited evidence	+0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidence	$37KspeculativeLoading	$18K to $69KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $3.60M; 80% Range $2.60M to $5.00M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.60M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Mark Mitchell	84.1%	$795K	$500K to $1.35M	21.3%	$795K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Anthony Robinson II	66.9%	$510K	$290K to $870K	14.1%	$510K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Jayden Stone	57.9%	$445K	$250K to $760K	12.2%	$445K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
T.O. Barrett	56.1%	$220K	$33K to $405K	6.5%	$220K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jacob Crews	51.3%	$355K	$190K to $565K	10.1%	$355K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Shawn Phillips Jr.	48.1%	$240K	$53K to $415K	7.2%	$240K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Trent Pierce	41.1%	$270K	$130K to $430K	7.8%	$270K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Sebastian Mack	23.5%	$98K	$27K to $185K	3.0%	$98K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Luke Northweather	19.3%	$155K	$95K to $240K	4.4%	$155K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Jevon Porter	17.3%	$205K	$130K to $390K	5.5%	$205K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Annor Boateng	13.0%	$47K	$20K to $97K	1.3%	$47K in all four	$27K	Limited evidence
Trent Burns	12.7%	$60K	$23K to $110K	1.8%	$60K in all four	$27K	Limited evidence
Nicholas Randall	8.7%	$37K	$18K to $69K	1.0%	$37K in all four	$27K	Limited evidence
Team Pool	—	$3.60M	$2.60M to $5.00M	100%	$3.60M in all four	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

No EADA match for this school.

Coverage and exclusions

32 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (97%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

1 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

No program revenue was published for this team.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
2 days	1
3 or more days	31

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	0
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology