MD E Shore

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for MD E Shore, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Michael Teal	66.8%	-2.7range -3.9 to -1.5Sufficient evidence	+2.4range +1.9 to +2.8Sufficient evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $29KLoading
Jaden Cooper	64.0%	+0.7range -0.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	+3.3range +2.9 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	$34KspeculativeLoading	$10K to $110KLoading
Dorion Staples	60.2%	+0.7range -0.6 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	+3.1range +2.7 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	$31KspeculativeLoading	$8K to $105KLoading
Zion Obanla	54.2%	+0.5range -0.7 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.4 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	$25KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $84KLoading
Justin Monden	51.0%	-4.1range -5.4 to -2.4Sufficient evidence	+1.5range +1.0 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $16KLoading
Joseph Locandro	47.9%	-1.1range -2.1 to -0.1Sufficient evidence	+2.1range +1.8 to +2.4Sufficient evidence	$8KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $33KLoading
Levi Beckwith	35.2%	-2.4range -3.6 to -1.4Sufficient evidence	+1.3range +1.1 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $17KLoading
Christopher Flippin	29.5%	-1.7range -2.6 to -0.9Sufficient evidence	+1.2range +1.1 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $16KLoading
Trey Brown	28.9%	-1.8range -2.9 to -0.5Sufficient evidence	+1.2range +1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $17KLoading
Maurio Hanson Jr.	14.5%	-1.4range -2.5 to -0.3Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $11KLoading
Maurice Vassel	14.3%	-4.2range -5.5 to -2.9Limited evidence	+0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidence	$2KspeculativeLoading	$0 to $6KLoading
Trey Hall	13.4%	-3.7range -4.6 to -2.7Limited evidence	+0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidence	$2KspeculativeLoading	$0 to $6KLoading
Jaden Johnson	10.1%	-1.3range -2.3 to -0.2Limited evidence	+0.4range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence	$2KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $8KLoading
Javoy Thompson	9.9%	-3.6range -4.4 to -2.7Limited evidence	+0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence	$2KspeculativeLoading	$0 to $6KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $155K; 80% Range $56K to $415K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $145K to $170K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14

The widest scenario range, $63K to $460K, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Michael Teal	66.8%	$4K	$1K to $29K	3.0%	$4K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaden Cooper	64.0%	$34K	$10K to $110K	19.7%	$32K to $38K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dorion Staples	60.2%	$31K	$8K to $105K	18.0%	$29K to $34K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Zion Obanla	54.2%	$25K	$6K to $84K	14.8%	$23K to $27K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Justin Monden	51.0%	$3K	$1K to $16K	1.1%	$2K to $3K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Joseph Locandro	47.9%	$8K	$1K to $33K	7.8%	$7K to $8K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Levi Beckwith	35.2%	$3K	$1K to $17K	2.1%	$3K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Christopher Flippin	29.5%	$3K	$1K to $16K	3.5%	$3K to $4K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Trey Brown	28.9%	$4K	$1K to $17K	3.6%	$3K to $4K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Maurio Hanson Jr.	14.5%	$3K	$1K to $11K	2.7%	$3K in all four	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Maurice Vassel	14.3%	$2K	$0 to $6K	1.0%	$2K in all four	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Trey Hall	13.4%	$2K	$0 to $6K	1.0%	$2K in all four	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaden Johnson	10.1%	$2K	$1K to $8K	2.0%	$2K to $3K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Javoy Thompson	9.9%	$2K	$0 to $6K	1.0%	$2K in all four	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$155K	$56K to $415K	100%	$145K to $170K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Maryland Eastern Shore (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,147,044
Men's basketball expenses	$1,245,634
Athletics department expenses	$10,137,959
Athletics department revenue	$10,137,959

Coverage and exclusions

30 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (100%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

No exclusions were recorded.

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$1,147,044	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$1,245,634	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	7
3 or more days	21

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	4
Longest run of consecutive away games	7

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology