Lamar

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Lamar, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Andrew Holifield	73.0%	-0.2range -1.3 to +0.6Sufficient evidence	+4.3range +3.7 to +4.7Sufficient evidence	$21KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $69KLoading
Rob Lee, Jr.	71.5%	+0.0range -0.9 to +0.9Sufficient evidence	+4.3range +3.8 to +4.8Sufficient evidence	$24KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $74KLoading
Cody Pennebaker	68.5%	+0.2range -0.7 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	+4.2range +3.7 to +4.7Sufficient evidence	$26KspeculativeLoading	$5K to $81KLoading
Braden East	59.8%	+0.6range -0.5 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	+3.8range +3.4 to +4.3Sufficient evidence	$29KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $92KLoading
Errol White	57.5%	+1.2range -0.1 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	+3.9range +3.3 to +4.4Sufficient evidence	$35KspeculativeLoading	$10K to $110KLoading
King-Njhsanni Wilhite	49.5%	-0.8range -1.7 to +0.3Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.4 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	$11KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $42KLoading
Eian Lowe	42.1%	+1.2range +0.0 to +2.2Sufficient evidence	+2.9range +2.5 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$25KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $81KLoading
Janko Bulajic	28.0%	+1.6range +0.5 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	+2.0range +1.8 to +2.2Sufficient evidence	$21KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $69KLoading
Jayden Gambrell	24.0%	-1.9range -2.8 to -0.9Sufficient evidence	+1.2range +1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $16KLoading
B.B. Knight	13.9%	-2.9range -3.9 to -2.2Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $10KLoading
Spencer Ezewiro	8.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
Jayden Barrs	4.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $230K; 80% Range $84K to $605K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $210K to $235K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Andrew Holifield	73.0%	$21K	$3K to $69K	11.9%	$19K to $21K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Rob Lee, Jr.	71.5%	$24K	$4K to $74K	12.7%	$22K to $24K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cody Pennebaker	68.5%	$26K	$5K to $81K	13.2%	$24K to $27K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Braden East	59.8%	$29K	$7K to $92K	13.0%	$27K to $30K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Errol White	57.5%	$35K	$10K to $110K	14.0%	$32K to $35K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
King-Njhsanni Wilhite	49.5%	$11K	$2K to $42K	7.0%	$10K to $12K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Eian Lowe	42.1%	$25K	$7K to $81K	10.3%	$23K to $26K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Janko Bulajic	28.0%	$21K	$7K to $69K	8.0%	$19K to $21K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jayden Gambrell	24.0%	$4K	$1K to $16K	2.1%	$4K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
B.B. Knight	13.9%	$3K	$1K to $10K	1.2%	$3K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Spencer Ezewiro	8.0%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Jayden Barrs	4.2%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$230K	$84K to $605K	100%	$210K to $235K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Lamar University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,934,655
Men's basketball expenses	$1,896,927
Athletics department expenses	$23,925,429
Athletics department revenue	$23,999,700

Coverage and exclusions

22 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (76%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

7 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$1,934,655	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$1,896,927	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	9
3 or more days	18

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.6
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	2
Longest run of consecutive away games	4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology