Hofstra

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Hofstra, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Cruz Davis	96.4%	+2.1range +1.2 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	+8.7range +7.8 to +9.7Sufficient evidence	$50KspeculativeLoading	$17K to $135KLoading
Preston Edmead	86.1%	+3.7range +2.8 to +4.5Sufficient evidence	+8.8range +8.1 to +9.5Sufficient evidence	$72KspeculativeLoading	$24K to $205KLoading
German Plotnikov	80.3%	+1.6range +0.5 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	+6.9range +6.0 to +7.8Sufficient evidence	$35KspeculativeLoading	$10K to $105KLoading
Joshua DeCady	56.3%	+1.0range -0.3 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	+4.5range +3.9 to +5.2Sufficient evidence	$21KspeculativeLoading	$5K to $65KLoading
Silas Sunday	49.2%	+2.9range +1.4 to +4.2Sufficient evidence	+4.6range +4.1 to +5.2Sufficient evidence	$33KspeculativeLoading	$11K to $95KLoading
Victory Onuetu	45.6%	+1.5range +0.4 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	+3.8range +3.3 to +4.3Sufficient evidence	$21KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $63KLoading
Biggie Patterson	45.6%	+0.5range -0.8 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	+3.4range +2.8 to +3.9Sufficient evidence	$14KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $45KLoading
Joshua Aaron Reaves	15.4%	+1.2range +0.4 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	+1.2range +1.0 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	$8KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $22KLoading
A.J. Wills	11.0%	-1.1range -2.1 to -0.2Limited evidence	+0.7range +0.6 to +0.7Limited evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $12KLoading
Jaeden Roberts	10.2%	+1.0range +0.2 to +1.8Limited evidence	+0.8range +0.7 to +0.8Limited evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $16KLoading
Alex Tsynkevich	3.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading
Amir Williams	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $280K; 80% Range $105K to $740K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $265K to $320K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 2 floor only

The widest scenario range, $115K to $850K, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Cruz Davis	96.4%	$50K	$17K to $135K	18.5%	$47K to $56K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Preston Edmead	86.1%	$72K	$24K to $205K	23.8%	$67K to $81K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
German Plotnikov	80.3%	$35K	$10K to $105K	13.7%	$32K to $39K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Joshua DeCady	56.3%	$21K	$5K to $65K	8.8%	$19K to $23K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Silas Sunday	49.2%	$33K	$11K to $95K	11.5%	$31K to $38K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Victory Onuetu	45.6%	$21K	$6K to $63K	8.2%	$19K to $23K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Biggie Patterson	45.6%	$14K	$3K to $45K	6.1%	$13K to $16K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Joshua Aaron Reaves	15.4%	$8K	$2K to $22K	3.0%	$7K to $9K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
A.J. Wills	11.0%	$4K	$1K to $12K	1.4%	$3K to $4K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaeden Roberts	10.2%	$6K	$2K to $16K	2.2%	$5K to $6K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Alex Tsynkevich	3.9%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K to $3K	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Amir Williams	0.1%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K to $3K	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$280K	$105K to $740K	100%	$265K to $320K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Hofstra University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$4,334,986	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$4,334,986
Athletics department expenses	$30,183,708
Athletics department revenue	$30,183,708

Coverage and exclusions

31 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

2 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$4,334,986	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$4,334,986	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	4
2 days	7
3 or more days	21

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology