George Mason

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for George Mason, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Kory Mincy	85.3%	+1.7range +0.3 to +2.8Sufficient evidence	+7.1range +6.1 to +7.9Sufficient evidence	$115KspeculativeLoading	$40K to $285KLoading
Jahari Long	83.0%	+3.4range +1.9 to +4.7Sufficient evidence	+7.9range +6.9 to +8.8Sufficient evidence	$190KspeculativeLoading	$75K to $475KLoading
Riley Allenspach	62.2%	+1.0range -0.3 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	+4.8range +4.0 to +5.4Sufficient evidence	$65KspeculativeLoading	$17K to $170KLoading
Masai Troutman	60.0%	+0.3range -1.0 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	+4.3range +3.6 to +4.9Sufficient evidence	$47KspeculativeLoading	$8K to $135KLoading
Fatt Hill	43.9%	+0.2range -1.1 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	+3.1range +2.6 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	$38KspeculativeLoading	$8K to $105KLoading
Malik Presley	41.4%	-1.4range -2.5 to -0.3Sufficient evidence	+2.4range +2.0 to +2.8Sufficient evidence	$17KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $67KLoading
Emmanuel Kanga	30.8%	+2.4range +1.2 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	+2.7range +2.3 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	$59KspeculativeLoading	$22K to $155KLoading
Nick Ellington	30.7%	+3.0range +1.7 to +4.2Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.4 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	$68KspeculativeLoading	$26K to $185KLoading
Dola Adebayo	24.2%	+1.7range +0.3 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	+1.9range +1.7 to +2.2Sufficient evidence	$36KspeculativeLoading	$12K to $91KLoading
Stas Sivka	23.0%	+0.3range -0.7 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	+1.6range +1.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	$24KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $66KLoading
Devin Booker	14.5%	-2.1range -3.0 to -1.1Limited evidence	+0.8range +0.6 to +0.9Limited evidence	$9KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $28KLoading
T.J. Prosise	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$5Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $13KLoading
Ben Woodward	0.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$5Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $13KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $730K; 80% Range $320K to $1.65M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $705K to $815K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 2 floor only

The widest scenario range, $355K to $1.85M, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Kory Mincy	85.3%	$115K	$40K to $285K	16.7%	$110K to $130K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jahari Long	83.0%	$190K	$75K to $475K	24.6%	$180K to $210K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Riley Allenspach	62.2%	$65K	$17K to $170K	10.4%	$63K to $73K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Masai Troutman	60.0%	$47K	$8K to $135K	8.0%	$45K to $52K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Fatt Hill	43.9%	$38K	$8K to $105K	6.4%	$37K to $43K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Malik Presley	41.4%	$17K	$3K to $67K	2.9%	$16K to $19K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Emmanuel Kanga	30.8%	$59K	$22K to $155K	7.6%	$57K to $66K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nick Ellington	30.7%	$68K	$26K to $185K	8.6%	$66K to $76K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dola Adebayo	24.2%	$36K	$12K to $91K	5.1%	$34K to $40K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Stas Sivka	23.0%	$24K	$6K to $66K	3.9%	$23K to $27K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Devin Booker	14.5%	$9K	$3K to $28K	1.2%	$9K to $10K	$5K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
T.J. Prosise	0.5%	$5K	$2K to $13K	0.8%	$5K to $6K	$5K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Ben Woodward	0.4%	$5K	$2K to $13K	0.8%	$5K to $6K	$5K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$730K	$320K to $1.65M	100%	$705K to $815K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, George Mason University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$5,776,180	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$5,776,180
Athletics department expenses	$32,534,218
Athletics department revenue	$32,979,325

Coverage and exclusions

31 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (97%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

1 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$5,776,180	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$5,776,180	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
3 or more days	30

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	0
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology