Davidson

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Davidson, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Parker Friedrichsen	64.5%	-0.8range -2.3 to +0.9Sufficient evidence	+3.9range +3.1 to +4.7Sufficient evidence	$34KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $110KLoading
Josh Scovens	61.4%	+1.7range +0.5 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	+4.8range +4.2 to +5.3Sufficient evidence	$90KspeculativeLoading	$31K to $225KLoading
Devin Brown	58.5%	+0.0range -1.3 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	+3.9range +3.3 to +4.6Sufficient evidence	$45KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $125KLoading
Sam Brown	57.2%	+2.6range +1.3 to +3.9Sufficient evidence	+4.8range +4.2 to +5.4Sufficient evidence	$110KspeculativeLoading	$42K to $310KLoading
Roberts Blums	51.3%	+1.3range -0.1 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	+3.9range +3.3 to +4.4Sufficient evidence	$63KspeculativeLoading	$19K to $165KLoading
Nick Coval	45.5%	+0.9range -1.0 to +2.4Sufficient evidence	+3.3range +2.7 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	$49KspeculativeLoading	$11K to $135KLoading
Ian Platteeuw	36.7%	-0.3range -1.2 to +0.6Sufficient evidence	+2.4range +2.1 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	$24KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $70KLoading
Hunter Adam	35.9%	+0.9range -0.3 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	+2.6range +2.2 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	$40KspeculativeLoading	$12K to $105KLoading
Sean Logan	29.3%	+2.2range +1.2 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	+2.4range +2.2 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	$53KspeculativeLoading	$20K to $135KLoading
JaQualon "JQ" Roberts	28.0%	+0.5range -0.6 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	+2.0range +1.7 to +2.2Sufficient evidence	$26KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $70KLoading
Manie Joses	19.7%	+2.0range +1.0 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	+1.6range +1.4 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	$33KspeculativeLoading	$13K to $83KLoading
RJ Greer	6.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $9KLoading
Joe Hurlburt	5.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $9KLoading
Brock Matheny	0.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $9KLoading
John Nowland	0.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $9KLoading
Phillip Kavu	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $9KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $645K; 80% Range $280K to $1.40M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $615K to $730K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 16; 5 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Parker Friedrichsen	64.5%	$34K	$3K to $110K	6.8%	$32K to $38K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Josh Scovens	61.4%	$90K	$31K to $225K	13.6%	$85K to $100K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Devin Brown	58.5%	$45K	$6K to $125K	8.7%	$43K to $51K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Sam Brown	57.2%	$110K	$42K to $310K	16.1%	$105K to $125K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Roberts Blums	51.3%	$63K	$19K to $165K	10.5%	$60K to $71K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nick Coval	45.5%	$49K	$11K to $135K	8.5%	$47K to $56K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ian Platteeuw	36.7%	$24K	$4K to $70K	4.8%	$23K to $27K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Hunter Adam	35.9%	$40K	$12K to $105K	6.9%	$39K to $46K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Sean Logan	29.3%	$53K	$20K to $135K	7.6%	$51K to $60K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
JaQualon "JQ" Roberts	28.0%	$26K	$7K to $70K	4.9%	$25K to $30K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Manie Joses	19.7%	$33K	$13K to $83K	5.0%	$32K to $38K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
RJ Greer	6.0%	$4K	$2K to $9K	0.6%	$4K in all four	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Joe Hurlburt	5.5%	$4K	$2K to $9K	0.6%	$4K in all four	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Brock Matheny	0.2%	$4K	$2K to $9K	0.6%	$4K in all four	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
John Nowland	0.2%	$4K	$2K to $9K	0.6%	$4K in all four	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Phillip Kavu	0.1%	$4K	$2K to $9K	0.6%	$4K in all four	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$645K	$280K to $1.40M	100%	$615K to $730K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Davidson College (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$5,844,431
Men's basketball expenses	$4,647,356
Athletics department expenses	$25,443,886
Athletics department revenue	$25,506,159

Coverage and exclusions

32 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (100%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

No exclusions were recorded.

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$5,844,431	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$4,647,356	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	1
3 or more days	29

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.3
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology