Colorado

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Colorado, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Barrington Hargress	80.9%	+1.5range +0.3 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	+6.0range +5.3 to +6.5Sufficient evidence	$590KspeculativeLoading	$320K to $990KLoading
Isaiah Johnson	72.7%	+1.7range +0.5 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	+5.5range +4.8 to +6.2Sufficient evidence	$590KspeculativeLoading	$335K to $1.10MLoading
Bangot Dak	62.7%	+2.1range +0.4 to +3.5Sufficient evidence	+5.0range +4.3 to +5.6Sufficient evidence	$555KspeculativeLoading	$310K to $1.05MLoading
Sebastian Rancik	61.1%	+1.3range -0.2 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	+4.5range +3.9 to +5.1Sufficient evidence	$425KspeculativeLoading	$180K to $735KLoading
Josiah Sanders	43.4%	-0.6range -1.7 to +0.6Sufficient evidence	+2.7range +2.3 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	$175KspeculativeLoading	$27K to $325KLoading
Alon Michaeli	40.2%	-0.2range -1.7 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	+2.6range +2.1 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	$180KspeculativeLoading	$29K to $335KLoading
Jalin Holland	39.8%	+0.7range -0.7 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.4 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$230KspeculativeLoading	$51K to $395KLoading
Felix Kossaras	34.8%	-0.0range -1.6 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	+2.3range +1.9 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	$170KspeculativeLoading	$30K to $310KLoading
Elijah Malone	32.4%	+1.4range +0.3 to +2.4Sufficient evidence	+2.5range +2.2 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	$250KspeculativeLoading	$130K to $430KLoading
Ian Inman	17.1%	-0.1range -1.2 to +1.0Sufficient evidence	+1.1range +1.0 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	$92KspeculativeLoading	$29K to $160KLoading
Fawaz "Tacko" Ifaola	11.1%	+0.8range -0.1 to +1.5Limited evidence	+0.8range +0.7 to +0.9Limited evidence	$88KspeculativeLoading	$46K to $140KLoading
Andrew Crawford	3.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$26Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading
Nick Randall	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$26Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $3.60M; 80% Range $2.55M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.60M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Barrington Hargress	80.9%	$590K	$320K to $990K	16.4%	$590K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidence
Isaiah Johnson	72.7%	$590K	$335K to $1.10M	16.0%	$590K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidence
Bangot Dak	62.7%	$555K	$310K to $1.05M	15.0%	$555K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidence
Sebastian Rancik	61.1%	$425K	$180K to $735K	12.0%	$425K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidence
Josiah Sanders	43.4%	$175K	$27K to $325K	5.2%	$175K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Alon Michaeli	40.2%	$180K	$29K to $335K	5.5%	$180K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jalin Holland	39.8%	$230K	$51K to $395K	6.9%	$230K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Felix Kossaras	34.8%	$170K	$30K to $310K	5.2%	$170K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Elijah Malone	32.4%	$250K	$130K to $430K	7.1%	$250K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidence
Ian Inman	17.1%	$92K	$29K to $160K	2.8%	$92K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidence
Fawaz "Tacko" Ifaola	11.1%	$88K	$46K to $140K	2.6%	$88K in all four	$26K	Limited evidence
Andrew Crawford	3.4%	$26K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$26K in all four	$26K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Nick Randall	0.1%	$26K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$26K in all four	$26K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.60M	$2.55M to $4.95M	100%	$3.60M in all four	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Colorado Boulder (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$11,918,793
Men's basketball expenses	$8,608,358
Athletics department expenses	$161,512,069
Athletics department revenue	$161,671,803

Coverage and exclusions

33 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (100%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

No exclusions were recorded.

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$11,918,793	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$8,608,358	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched through an NCES IPEDS institution alias, with state and home-venue city agreeing.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
3 or more days	31

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology