Chicago St

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Chicago St, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
CJ Ray	77.5%	-0.2range -1.2 to +0.7Sufficient evidence	+3.1range +2.8 to +3.4Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Marcus Tankersley	72.3%	-2.9range -4.2 to -1.6Sufficient evidence	+2.2range +1.7 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Doyel Cockrill III	53.6%	+0.0range -1.1 to +1.0Sufficient evidence	+2.3range +2.1 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Braelon Bush	53.4%	-0.3range -1.7 to +0.9Sufficient evidence	+2.3range +1.9 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Stephen Byard	42.2%	-1.3range -2.4 to -0.0Sufficient evidence	+1.6range +1.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Corey Sands	39.3%	-2.4range -3.3 to -1.2Sufficient evidence	+1.4range +1.2 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Malek Robinson	38.8%	-1.9range -3.3 to -0.4Sufficient evidence	+1.4range +1.1 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Dailliss Cox	38.5%	-1.9range -3.2 to -0.5Sufficient evidence	+1.4range +1.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Joseph Owens	21.3%	-1.0range -1.9 to +0.1Sufficient evidence	+0.9range +0.8 to +1.0Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Lionel Larvadain	18.6%	-1.7range -2.5 to -0.6Sufficient evidence	+0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Daniel Zatsepin	16.7%	-2.4range -3.6 to -1.1Sufficient evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Chauncey Gibson	16.1%	-0.9range -2.0 to +0.4Limited evidence	+0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Limited evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Dakari Thomas	5.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
CJ Delancy	3.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Deshawn Jean-Charles	2.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $0 (assumed opted out); 80% Range $0 to $0 (assumed)
Tier: Low and other; low evidence

Assumed from one unverified press article that names schools that did not opt in. Methodology

No player figures. The Team Pool is $0.

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Chicago State University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,355,956	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$1,355,956
Athletics department expenses	$8,751,784
Athletics department revenue	$8,751,784

Coverage and exclusions

28 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (90%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

3 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$1,355,956	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$1,355,956	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
2 days	11
3 or more days	19

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	8

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology