Austin Peay

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Austin Peay, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Collin Parker	79.6%	+2.4range +1.4 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	+6.1range +5.3 to +6.8Sufficient evidence	$50KspeculativeLoading	$17K to $150KLoading
Zyree Collins	77.8%	+0.8range -0.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	+5.1range +4.5 to +5.7Sufficient evidence	$27KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $84KLoading
Tate McCubbin	72.8%	+1.3range +0.3 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	+5.0range +4.4 to +5.7Sufficient evidence	$31KspeculativeLoading	$9K to $89KLoading
Rashaud Marshall	72.6%	+3.1range +2.3 to +4.0Sufficient evidence	+5.8range +5.3 to +6.4Sufficient evidence	$56KspeculativeLoading	$19K to $170KLoading
Anton Brookshire	62.9%	+1.6range +0.8 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	+4.4range +3.9 to +4.9Sufficient evidence	$29KspeculativeLoading	$9K to $84KLoading
Ja'Corey Robinson	40.9%	+0.9range -0.5 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	+2.7range +2.2 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	$16KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $51KLoading
Matt Enright	29.0%	-0.6range -1.5 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+1.6range +1.3 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	$7KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $24KLoading
Creighton Morisch	24.1%	-1.6range -2.7 to -0.5Sufficient evidence	+1.2range +1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $16KLoading
Travis Torain	12.7%	+0.1range -0.6 to +0.8Limited evidence	+0.7range +0.7 to +0.8Limited evidence	$5KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $14KLoading
Quan Lax	11.1%	-1.0range -1.8 to -0.5Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $10KLoading
Tyler Wagner	10.9%	-1.4range -2.3 to -0.4Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $10KLoading
Hansel Enmanuel	5.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
Terrell Gaines	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $250K; 80% Range $93K to $680K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $245K to $255K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Collin Parker	79.6%	$50K	$17K to $150K	19.3%	$49K to $52K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Zyree Collins	77.8%	$27K	$7K to $84K	12.8%	$26K to $28K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tate McCubbin	72.8%	$31K	$9K to $89K	13.3%	$30K to $31K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Rashaud Marshall	72.6%	$56K	$19K to $170K	21.0%	$55K to $58K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Anton Brookshire	62.9%	$29K	$9K to $84K	12.3%	$28K to $30K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ja'Corey Robinson	40.9%	$16K	$4K to $51K	7.3%	$16K to $17K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Matt Enright	29.0%	$7K	$1K to $24K	3.4%	$6K to $7K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Creighton Morisch	24.1%	$4K	$1K to $16K	1.8%	$4K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Travis Torain	12.7%	$5K	$1K to $14K	2.2%	$5K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Quan Lax	11.1%	$3K	$1K to $10K	1.4%	$3K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tyler Wagner	10.9%	$3K	$1K to $10K	1.3%	$3K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Hansel Enmanuel	5.1%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Terrell Gaines	0.3%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$250K	$93K to $680K	100%	$245K to $255K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Austin Peay State University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,590,785	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,590,785
Athletics department expenses	$26,749,245
Athletics department revenue	$26,749,245

Coverage and exclusions

22 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (76%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

7 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$2,590,785	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$2,590,785	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched by a manual override chosen by the model author. Its checks (IPEDS identity, state, home-venue city) confirm only that the pick is self-consistent. They are not independent proof that this school is the same program. If the match were wrong, these figures would belong to a different school.manual EADA match, not independently verified

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	2
2 days	4
3 or more days	22

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.6
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	5

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology