Auburn
2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahaad Pettiford | 80.7% | +3.6range +2.4 to +4.6Sufficient evidence | +7.8range +6.9 to +8.5Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Keyshawn Hall | 79.9% | +2.4range +1.1 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | +7.1range +6.2 to +7.8Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Kevin Overton | 78.9% | +2.9range +1.7 to +4.2Sufficient evidence | +7.3range +6.3 to +8.1Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Sebastian Williams-Adams | 67.8% | +0.8range -0.6 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | +5.2range +4.6 to +5.9Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Elyjah Freeman | 66.2% | +2.3range +0.8 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | +5.8range +5.1 to +6.6Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| KeShawn Murphy | 49.7% | +2.4range +1.1 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | +4.4range +3.9 to +5.0Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Filip Jovic | 43.4% | +1.1range -0.1 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +3.5range +2.9 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Kaden Magwood | 13.5% | +0.1range -0.8 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.8 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Blake Muschalek | 9.4% | -0.9range -1.8 to +0.2Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence | Not published | Not published |
| Simon Walker | 3.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | Not published | Not published |
| Emeka Opurum | 3.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | Not published | Not published |
| Abdullahi Bashir | 2.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | Not published | Not published |
| CJ Williams | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | Not published | Not published |
| Reed Trapp | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | Not published | Not published |
| Drake Cardwell | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | Not published | Not published |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
36 of 38 games passed lineup acceptance (95%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 2 of 38 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $26,568,984 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $20,535,097 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 3 |
| 3 or more days | 34 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.3 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology