Le Moyne
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Dancler | 71.9% | -2.4range -3.6 to -1.1Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.3 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dwayne Koroma | 66.4% | -0.3range -1.3 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | +2.3range +2.0 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nate Fouts | 65.8% | -0.9range -1.8 to +0.2Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.8 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Darrick Jones Jr. | 52.4% | -2.0range -3.4 to -0.6Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.0 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Robby Carmody | 48.3% | -0.6range -1.7 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.4 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Zek Tekin | 46.2% | -1.7range -2.9 to -0.4Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.0 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ocypher Owens | 45.1% | -2.5range -4.2 to -0.8Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +0.7 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Will Amica | 34.0% | -1.8range -2.9 to -0.7Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.7 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Deng Garang | 19.3% | -0.5range -1.3 to +0.2Sufficient evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Freds Pauls Bagatskis | 17.5% | -1.8range -2.7 to -1.0Sufficient evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jakob Blakley | 17.4% | -3.2range -4.2 to -2.1Sufficient evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trent Mosquera | 11.1% | -1.7range -2.5 to -0.9Limited evidence | +0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Isaac Nyakundi | 3.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sam Donnelly | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kaelin Thomas | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
25 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (83%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 5 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $1,798,253 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $1,428,504 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 9 |
| 3 or more days | 19 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 4 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology