Lindenwood
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadis Jones | 85.1% | -0.6range -1.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +2.8 to +4.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Markeith Browning II | 77.9% | -2.6range -4.0 to -1.6Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.5 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Reggie Bass | 69.0% | -0.1range -1.1 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | +3.0range +2.5 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Anias Futrell | 67.9% | +0.2range -0.9 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.6 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jordan Wildy | 45.3% | +0.2range -1.1 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.7 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Clayton Jackson | 44.3% | -2.7range -3.9 to -1.4Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +0.9 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nathan Johnson Jr. | 39.5% | -1.0range -2.3 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Aly Tounkara | 33.2% | +1.4range +0.2 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.6 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaylon McDaniel | 16.4% | -3.1range -3.9 to -2.4Sufficient evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jalen Bouknight | 12.1% | -0.8range -1.7 to -0.2Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Colin Ruffin | 8.7% | -2.5range -3.7 to -1.4Limited evidence | +0.3range +0.2 to +0.3Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| RJ Horry | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Alex Nokes | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
27 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (90%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 3 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $1,241,973 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $1,241,973 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 10 |
| 3 or more days | 17 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.6 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 2 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology