Tarleton St
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubu Benjamin | 91.0% | -2.5range -3.6 to -1.4Sufficient evidence | +1.9range +1.4 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Izzy Miles | 72.4% | -2.1range -3.1 to -0.9Sufficient evidence | +1.7range +1.3 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jordan Mizell | 58.4% | -1.2range -2.8 to +0.3Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.2 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Chris Mpaka | 51.1% | -0.5range -1.5 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.3 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dantwan Grimes | 50.1% | +0.2range -0.7 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | +1.7range +1.4 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Keitenn Bristow | 48.2% | +0.6range -0.9 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | +1.7range +1.4 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nick Krass | 40.0% | -5.2range -6.8 to -3.6Sufficient evidence | +0.4range +0.0 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Joseph Martinez | 21.0% | -2.6range -3.5 to -1.5Sufficient evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Freddy Hicks | 15.2% | +1.6range +0.7 to +2.5Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.6 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ronnie Harrison | 13.7% | -1.8range -2.6 to -0.9Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Marty Silvera | 11.8% | -0.7range -1.2 to -0.2Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Karim Elgizawy | 10.7% | -3.2range -4.1 to -2.2Limited evidence | +0.2range +0.1 to +0.3Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Matt Krass | 9.6% | -3.2range -4.0 to -2.3Limited evidence | +0.2range +0.1 to +0.3Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Roy Marom | 3.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Caleb Evans | 3.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Collin Course | 0.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
29 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (100%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
No exclusions were recorded.
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,613,774 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,613,774 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 7 |
| 3 or more days | 19 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.2 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology