Utah Tech
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noa Gonsalves | 87.5% | -1.9range -2.8 to -0.7Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +2.0 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Hakim Byrd | 79.5% | -3.1range -4.0 to -2.3Sufficient evidence | +1.7range +1.2 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Beon Riley | 67.1% | +0.5range -0.2 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.4 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Justin Bieker | 61.9% | -1.8range -3.0 to -0.7Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Samuel Ariyibi | 53.5% | -1.0range -2.3 to +0.3Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Madiba Owona | 37.4% | -1.1range -2.1 to -0.1Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +1.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tennessee Rainwater | 35.2% | -4.0range -5.4 to -2.5Sufficient evidence | +0.6range +0.3 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Stone Hutchings | 16.2% | +0.1range -0.8 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Pavle Misic | 13.1% | -0.2range -1.6 to +1.1Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Britton Berrett | 12.9% | -0.5range -1.2 to +0.4Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Unisa Turay | 12.3% | -2.0range -2.8 to -1.2Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Hunter Schenck | 8.5% | -1.5range -2.2 to -0.8Limited evidence | +0.3range +0.2 to +0.3Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sammy Howlin | 7.7% | -0.8range -1.4 to -0.0Limited evidence | +0.3range +0.2 to +0.3Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dallin Grant | 7.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
28 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (90%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 3 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $1,909,142 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $1,894,269 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 3 |
| 2 days | 8 |
| 3 or more days | 19 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 2 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology