Yale
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bez Mbeng | 83.1% | +4.1range +3.2 to +5.0Sufficient evidence | +5.4range +4.8 to +6.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nick Townsend | 77.4% | +3.1range +2.1 to +4.3Sufficient evidence | +4.5range +3.9 to +5.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| John Poulakidas | 74.8% | +3.5range +2.3 to +4.6Sufficient evidence | +4.6range +4.0 to +5.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Casey Simmons | 62.1% | +1.4range +0.2 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.5 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Samson Aletan | 53.2% | +3.2range +2.4 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | +3.0range +2.7 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Isaac Celiscar | 50.4% | +2.3range +1.1 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | +2.6range +2.2 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trevor Mullin | 26.9% | +1.3range +0.2 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jack Molloy | 17.1% | -0.3range -1.3 to +0.7Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Riley Fox | 16.7% | -0.5range -1.4 to +0.4Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jordan Brathwaite | 14.4% | +1.4range +0.5 to +2.0Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Yassine Gharram | 12.5% | +0.1range -0.8 to +1.0Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Devon Arlington | 5.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Teo Rice | 3.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jeannot Basima | 1.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Emir Buyukhanli | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
25 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (86%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 4 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,101,646 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,101,646 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 7 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 20 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.2 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology