Algosys College Basketball

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Wyoming

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Wyoming, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Obi Agbim72.6%-0.5range -1.8 to +0.8Sufficient evidence+2.6range +2.2 to +3.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jordan Nesbitt72.3%-0.8range -2.1 to +0.7Sufficient evidence+2.5range +1.9 to +3.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Dontaie Allen63.6%+0.3range -0.6 to +1.5Sufficient evidence+2.6range +2.2 to +3.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kobe Newton53.9%-0.8range -2.3 to +0.6Sufficient evidence+1.9range +1.5 to +2.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Cole Henry47.7%+0.4range -0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidence+2.0range +1.6 to +2.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
A.J. Wills43.1%-2.2range -3.3 to -1.2Sufficient evidence+1.2range +0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Touko Tainamo40.3%-0.4range -1.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidence+1.5range +1.2 to +1.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Matija Belic39.9%-3.4range -4.5 to -2.2Sufficient evidence+0.9range +0.5 to +1.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Abou Magassa33.7%+0.2range -0.9 to +1.1Sufficient evidence+1.4range +1.2 to +1.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Oleg Kojenets15.2%-1.8range -2.6 to -1.1Limited evidence+0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Scottie Ebube14.4%-0.9range -1.5 to -0.5Limited evidence+0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Nigle Cook1.8%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Cort Roberson1.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Levi Brown0.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

21 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (68%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 10 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue$4,349,840Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$4,349,840Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day1
3 or more days29

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent0
Longest run of consecutive away games2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology