William & Mary
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Dorsey | 72.4% | +1.1range +0.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | +4.0range +3.5 to +4.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Keller Boothby | 66.8% | +1.4range +0.2 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | +3.9range +3.4 to +4.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Matteus Case | 55.1% | -1.6range -2.8 to -0.0Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.6 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Isaiah Mbeng | 49.1% | +0.3range -1.0 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | +2.5range +2.1 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Chase Lowe | 45.5% | +1.6range +0.6 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.4 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Malachi Ndur | 44.2% | +1.5range +0.7 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.3 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kyle Frazier | 37.6% | -2.1range -3.6 to -0.4Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +0.9 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Noah Collier | 35.9% | +0.0range -0.9 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.5 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kyle Pulliam | 35.3% | -1.7range -2.7 to -0.5Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.0 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Caleb Dorsey | 31.2% | -0.5range -1.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Finn Lally | 10.5% | -1.1range -1.9 to -0.2Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Miles Hicks | 7.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ryan Jackson, Jr. | 6.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Luke Kinkade | 2.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nick Evans | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
25 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (83%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 5 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,603,665 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,835,398 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 8 |
| 3 or more days | 19 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.6 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology