Algosys College Basketball

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Weber St

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Weber St, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Blaise Threatt88.1%+0.7range -0.3 to +2.0Sufficient evidence+3.9range +3.3 to +4.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Viljami Vartiainen67.0%-1.9range -3.3 to -0.6Sufficient evidence+2.1range +1.6 to +2.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Nigel Burris57.4%-2.5range -3.6 to -1.7Sufficient evidence+1.6range +1.2 to +2.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Trevor Hennig54.1%-0.9range -1.8 to +0.3Sufficient evidence+2.1range +1.8 to +2.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Dyson Koehler51.7%-0.7range -1.7 to +0.5Sufficient evidence+2.0range +1.7 to +2.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Alex Tew46.3%+0.4range -0.8 to +1.5Sufficient evidence+2.1range +1.7 to +2.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Miguel Tomley37.1%-2.3range -3.3 to -1.2Sufficient evidence+1.1range +0.9 to +1.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Vasilije Vucinic36.5%-0.2range -1.6 to +1.4Sufficient evidence+1.6range +1.3 to +1.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Saadiq Moore24.4%-3.7range -4.8 to -2.6Sufficient evidence+0.5range +0.4 to +0.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Declan Cutler20.3%-1.8range -2.9 to -0.7Sufficient evidence+0.7range +0.5 to +0.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Nemanja Sarenac12.4%+0.2range -0.3 to +0.7Limited evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Marko Sarenac4.7%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Andrew Younan0.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

27 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (87%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 4 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue$2,223,737Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$2,223,737Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day2
2 days9
3 or more days19

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent1
Longest run of consecutive away games4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology